| 基于区间二型模糊AHP-VIKOR的风电建设项目投资风险决策模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 乌云娜,孙肖坤,芦智明,李小鹏,许传博.基于区间二型模糊AHP-VIKOR的风电建设项目投资风险决策模型研究[J].科技管理研究,2019,39(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 乌云娜 孙肖坤 芦智明 李小鹏 许传博 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206;新能源电力与低碳发展研究北京市重点实验室(华北电力大学),北京102206;中国葛洲坝集团第三工程有限公司,陕西西安,710077 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然基金资助项目（No.71271085）、中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金（NO.2017XS098）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 投资规划阶段是一个风电建设项目的开始阶段,对投资规划阶段面临的风险因素进行梳理识别,建立合理决策模型来甄别方案对于整个项目规避风险很有意义。本文从决策角度入手,对风电建设项目投资规划阶段的风险体系进行梳理和识别,形成了风电建设项目投资规划阶段风险指标体系。考虑指标属性与权重信息的不确定、模糊性以及决策者所持风险态度,结合区间二型模糊数与AHP-VIKOR算法,构造了基于区间二型模糊AHP-VIKOR的风险决策模型,并运用到风电建设项目中验证了该方法的合理性和有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 风电 投资规划 风险评价 区间二型模糊数 AHP-V1KOR |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/5/8 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018/6/21 0:00:00 |
Research on Investment Risk Decision Model of Wind Power Construction Project Based on Interval Type-2 Fuzzy AHP-VIKOR |
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| Abstract: | The investment planning stage is the beginning stage of the wind power construction project. It is very meaningful to identify the risk factors facing the investment planning stage and establish a reasonable decision model for the whole project to avoid the risk. In this paper, the risk system of wind power construction project investment planning stage is combed and identified from the decision-making point of view, and the risk index system of the investment planning stage of the wind power construction project is formed. Considering the uncertainty, fuzziness of the attribute and weight information, and the risk attitude of the decision-makers, a risk decision model based on interval type-2 fuzzy AHP-VIKOR algorithm is constructed, and the rationality and effectiveness of the method are verified in the project of wind power construction. |
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| Keywords: | wind power investment planning risk assessment interval type-2 fuzzy numbers AHP-VIKOR |
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