| 基于集值统计的技术创新风险度量及其预警 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄继鸿,柯孔林.基于集值统计的技术创新风险度量及其预警[J].科学学研究,2005,23(2):273-276. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄继鸿 柯孔林 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 杭州电子科技大学管理学院,浙江杭州,310018
2. 浙江工商大学金融学院,浙江杭州,310035 |
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| 摘 要： | 风险评价是企业技术创新风险管理的重要内容。本文考虑了专家对风险进行评价时的不确定性和模糊性,提出了一种基于集值统计原理的企业技术创新风险评价方法,并对专家们判断的可靠度进行了研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 技术创新 风险评价 集值统计 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-2053(2005)02-0273-04 |
The evaluation and forecasting of technology innovation risk based on set-value statistics |
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| HUANG Ji-hong,KE Kong-lin.The evaluation and forecasting of technology innovation risk based on set-value statistics[J].Studies in Science of Science,2005,23(2):273-276. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Ji-hong KE Kong-lin |
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| Institution: | HUANG Ji-hong~1,KE Kong-lin~2 |
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| Abstract: | The risk evaluation is an important part of enterprise technology innovation risk management. In this paper, a new method of risk evaluation based on set-value statistics theory is put forward, when uncertainty and vagueness are taken into account in expert’s judgement. And the degree of credibility of judgement is also researched. |
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| Keywords: | technology innovation risk evaluation set-value statistics |
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