| 我国技术市场的发展与经济增长的协整分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 金为民.我国技术市场的发展与经济增长的协整分析[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2009,30(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 金为民 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学技术大学管理学院,合肥,230026 |
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| 摘 要： | 以1987-2007年中国统计年鉴的统计数据为基础,运用计量经济学中的协整分析方法,对我国技术市场的发展与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究,发现二者存在长期稳定的均衡关系和Granger因果关系,技术市场的发展滞后于总体经济发展的时间约为5～6年,而技术市场的发展大致需要3年的时间才会拉动经济增长.
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| 关 键 词： | 技术市场 经济增长 协整分析 误差修正模型 Granger因果关系 |
Co-integration Analysis between the Development of the Technology Market and Economic Growth |
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| JIN Weimin.Co-integration Analysis between the Development of the Technology Market and Economic Growth[J].Science of Science and Management of S.& T.,2009,30(4). |
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| Authors: | JIN Weimin |
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| Institution: | Management Institute;University of Science and Technology of China;Hefei 230051;China |
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| Abstract: | Based on statistical data of year 1987-2007, this paper uses co-integration analysis of economet-rics to study the relationship between the development of the technology market and economic growth empiri-cally, finds that there are long-term stability equilibrium and Granger causality between them. In addition, the development of the technology market lags behind the overall economic development of about 5 to 6 years, and the development of the technology market generally requires about three years to promo... |
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| Keywords: | technology market economic growth co-integration analysis error correction model Granger causality |
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