中国区域创新差异的时空格局演变——基于空间马尔可夫链分析

以专利授权总量为主要指标，基于省域空间单元，采用变异系数、空间马尔可夫链和空间自相关等方法，从时间、空间和区域视角探索1985-2013年间我国区域创新差异的时空动态演化过程与特征。研究发现：（1）我国区域创新差异整体上呈现继续扩大的态势，并呈现出高水平和低水平两大空间趋同俱乐部；（2）区域创新类型的空间转移与创新水平的差距关系密切，区域创新水平的差距越小，发生转移的概率越大；反之亦然。（3）邻域的创新水平明显影响区域创新差异的演变，但这种作用存在不对称性。最后，在此基础上提出区域创新发展的政策建议。

Chinese regional innovation differences in temporal and spatial evolution

In total patent licensing as the main indicator, based on provincial spatial unit, using the coefficient of variation, space Markov chains and spatial autocorrelation and other methods, from the time, space and time and space to explore the 1985-2013 regional perspective of regional innovation difference between evolution and dynamic characteristics. The study found(1) Differences of Regional Innovation presented the situation as a whole continues to expand, and presents two high-level and low-level convergence space club; (2) the transfer of regional innovation gap with the type of space is closely related to the level of innovation, the smaller the gap between regional innovation level, the greater the probability of occurrence of metastasis; vice versa. (3) The level of innovation neighborhood differences significantly affects the evolution of regional innovation, but this effect exists asymmetry. Finally, The development of regional innovation policy recommendations on this basis.