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Calculation of Expected Shortfall for Measuring Risk and Its Applications
作者姓名:阎春宁  余鹏  黄养新
作者单位:[1]CollegeofInternationalBusinessandManagement,ShanghaiUniversity,Shanghai201800,P.R.China [2]DepartmentofBiostatisticsandComputationalBiology,UniversityofRochester,NewYork14642,USA
基金项目:theNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina(GrantNo.70171059)
摘    要:Expected shortfall(ES) is a new method to measure market risk. In this paper, an example was presented to illustrate that the ES is coherent but value-at-risk(VaR) is not coherent. Three formulas for calculating the ES based on historical simulation method, normal method and GARCH method were derived. Further, a numerical experiment on optimizing portfolio using ES was provided.

关 键 词:评估风险  期望损失  计算方法  市场风险  数字模拟  金融风险
收稿时间:4 June 2003

Calculation of expected shortfall for measuring risk and its applications
Yan Chun-ning,Yu Peng,Huang Yang-xin.Calculation of Expected Shortfall for Measuring Risk and Its Applications[J].Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition),2005,9(1):90-94.
Authors:Yan Chun-ning  Yu Peng  Huang Yang-xin
Institution:(1) College of International Business and Management, Shanghai University, 201800 Shanghai, P.R. China;(2) Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, University of Rochester, 14642 New York, USA
Abstract:Expected shortfall(ES) is a new method to measure market risk. In this paper, an example was presented to illustrate that the ES is coherent but value-at-risk(VaR) is not coherent. Three formulas for calculating the ES based on historical simulation method, normal method and GARCH method were derived. Further, a numerical experiment on optimizing portfolio using ES was provided.
Keywords:coherent  expected shortfall(ES)  value-at-risk(VaR)  
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