国内技术预见研究的文献计量分析

本文利用文献计量学的理论和方法,对588篇技术预见研究文献进行统计,深入分析国内技术预见研究的发展进程、研究机构、核心作者、核心期刊、主要研究内容等。根据年载文量分析技术预见的发展进程;通过发文量的统计确定11家重点研究机构,根据普赖斯定律得出领域35位核心作者;综合布拉德福定律和被引频次确定出10种核心期刊;最后根据研究内容不同,将技术预见研究文献分为理论研究、应用案例、方法流程、研究进展概述等四类。

Bibliometric Analysis of Domestic Technology Foresight Research

Based on the bibliometric theories and methods, the article made a statistical analysis on the 588 papers of technology foresight, and then analyzed the literature from the perspectives of publishing year, institute, author, publisher, research content and so on. The paper analyzed the development process and fund project papers of domestic technology foresight based on publishing year and identified 11 key research institutions, core authors were listed according to the Price Law; 10 core journals were identified by Bradford law and cited frequency; Finally, the paper divided the research papers into four categories according to content, including theoretical research, application cases, methods and processes and research progress review.