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| 基于改进的GM(1,1)模型在人口预测中的应用——以福建省为例 | |
| 引用本文： | 倪贵平,伍世代. 基于改进的GM(1,1)模型在人口预测中的应用——以福建省为例[J]. 宜宾学院学报, 2008, 8(12) |
| 作者姓名： | 倪贵平 伍世代 |
| 作者单位： | 福建师范大学,地理科学学院,福州,350007 |
| 摘 要： | 以灰色预测理论为基础，分别运用传统的和改进的GM（1，1）模型，对福建省未来人口进行预测，并提出了存在干涉因子的GM（1，1）模型的使用方法，改进的GM（1，1）模型具有较高的预测精度和可行性． |
| 关 键 词： | 人口预测 GM（1,1）模型 福建省 |
The Improved GM(1,1) Model and Its Application in Population Prediction:Taking Fujian Province as an Example |
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| NI Gui-ping,WU Shi-dai. The Improved GM(1,1) Model and Its Application in Population Prediction:Taking Fujian Province as an Example[J]. Journal of Yibin University, 2008, 8(12) | |
| Authors: | NI Gui-ping WU Shi-dai |
| Affiliation: | NI Gui-ping,WU Shi-dai (School of Geographied Sciences,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350007,China) |
| Abstract: | Using the grey prediction theory as a basis,the traditional model and improved GM(1,1) model are respectively applied to predict Fujian population in the future,and proposes a method of using the existence of the interference factor in the GM(1,1) model.The results show that the improved GM(1,1) model has high accuracy and feasibility. |
| Keywords: | Population Prediction GM(1 1) Model Fujian Province |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |