技术融合、技术动荡性与新产品开发绩效研究

摘要：技术融合是产业融合的重要标志，对引导重大颠覆性技术创新和新产品开发具有非常重要的推动作用。在技术高速发展的动荡环境下，分析互补性技术融合、替代性技术融合与企业新产品开发绩效之间的关系。利用我国汽车产业343家新能源汽车企业新产品和专利数据，采用负二项固定效应回归模型进行实证研究发现：替代性技术融合有利于促进企业开发更多新产品，而互补性技术融合与企业新产品开发绩效呈倒U型关系。同时，技术动荡性负向调节互补性技术融合与企业新产品开发绩效之间的正向关系，但技术动荡性对替代性技术融合与企业新产品开发绩效之间关系的调节效应不显著。

Research on Technology Convergence,Technological Turbulence and New Product Development Performance

Abstract: Technology convergence is an important symbol of industry convergence and plays a very important role in promoting major disruptive technological innovation and new product development. In the turbulent environment of rapid technology development, this paper analyzes the relationship between complementarity technology convergence, substitution technology convergence and enterprise new product development performance. By using the data of new products and patents of 343 green-power automobile enterprises in China's automobile industry and adopting the fixed- effect negative binomial regression model, the empirical study finds that: the substitution technology convergence is positively related to the company’s new product development performance and the technological turbulence has no effect on the relationship between them. Meanwhile a U-shaped relationship is found between the complementarity technology convergence and firm new product development performance and the technological turbulence has a signification negative moderating effect on the positive relationship between the complementarity technology convergence and firm new product development performance.