第13 届北京残奥会竞争实力分析及实力预测

通过文献资料、系统分析、经验预测法等方法，以2008年第13届残奥会所设的20大项472小项目为基准，分析参赛国在世界残疾人体育大赛（第10—12届残奥会、2006年或2007年各单项世界锦标赛）中的竞争实力，对2008年北京残奥会各项目进行竞争实力预测。

Analysis and Prediction of Competitive Capability in the 13th Beijing Paralympic Games

Adopted document, systematic analysis and prediction of experience, the authors analyzed the competitive capabilities of the participant countries from the achievement in the different world sport matches of disabilities, including 10th to 12th Paralympic Games, and world championship in 2006 or 2007, according to the 20 events and 472 sub- events in 13th Paralympic Games in 2008. And the competitive capabilities in each event in 2008 Beijing Pa were predicted.