| 中国通货膨胀、消费水平与经济增长关系实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏学辉,李峰.中国通货膨胀、消费水平与经济增长关系实证研究[J].未来与发展,2011(4):34-37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏学辉 李峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南开大学数量经济研究所,天津300071;河北工业大学管理学院,天津300130
2. 河北工业大学管理学院,天津,300130 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社科基金项目，河北省社科基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文使用结构向量自回归（SVAR）模型对我国通货膨胀、居民消费水平和经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明通货膨胀对经济增长的影响随时间由正变负,而经济增长对通货膨胀具有持续推动作用;通货膨胀与居民消费水平具有双向Granger因果关系。因此,在当前我国消费需求不足的情况下,提高居民消费水平不仅是转变投资驱动型经济增长方式的重要手段,也是缓解通货膨胀和经济增长矛盾的有效途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 通货膨胀 消费水平 经济增长 结构向量自回归模型 |
Empirical Study on the Relationship between Inflation, Consumption Expenditure and Economic Growth |
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| WEI Xue-hui,LI Feng.Empirical Study on the Relationship between Inflation, Consumption Expenditure and Economic Growth[J].Future and Development,2011(4):34-37. |
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| Authors: | WEI Xue-hui LI Feng |
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| Institution: | WEI Xue-hui1,2,LI Feng2(1.Quantitative Economic Research Institute,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China,2.School of Management,Hebei University of Technology,Tianjin 300130,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper makes empirical research on the relationship between inflation,household consumption expenditure and economic growth with the Structural VAR model.It shows that the effect of inflation on economic growth turns from positive to negative as time goes by.However,the economic growth has lasting positive effects on inflation.Inflation and household consumption expenditure are Granger cause of each other.Under the condition of insufficient household consumption demand,raising household consumption expen... |
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| Keywords: | inflation consumption expenditure economic growth structural VAR model |
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