基于结构分解分析的影响体育及相关产业增长因素研究*

运用投入产出技术中的结构分解分析方法对2002年和2007年湖南省投入产出表进行分析,结果表明:影响体育及相关产业增长的因素是最终需求而不是技术进步;加大体育产业的农村民居消费水平、城镇居民消费结构和政府购买结构是未来促进湖南省体育产业总产出有效增长的重要政策措施之一;影响湖南省体育相关第二产业增长最主要的因素是固定资产形成和城镇居民消费;影响体育相关第三产业增长最主要的因素是城镇居民消费和农村居民消费。

Structural Decomposition Analysis of the Growth Factors Affecting Sports and Its Related Industries

In this paper, the input-output structural decomposition analysis method was used to analyze the input-output table of 2002 and 2007 of Hunan province. The results show that: final demand rather than technological progress is the growth factor affecting sports and its related industries; enlarging the consumption level of the rural residents, adjusting the consumption structure of the urban residents and modifying the government purchases structure are the most important policy measures to promote the sports industry total output growth in Hunan Province; the fixed assets formation and the consumption level of the urban residents are the main important factors influencing sports-related secondary industry growth in Hunan Province ; Consumption levels of the urban residents and the rural residents are the main factors that impact on sports-related tertiary industry growth.