用层次分析法决策水资源合理利用和保护——以新疆开都河、孔雀河、博斯腾湖为例

新疆开都河、博斯腾湖、孔雀河的水资源合理利用和保护是一个极为复杂的系统工程。80年代以来,由于上、下游在水资源利用、分配上出现一些差错,博斯腾湖的生态环境日益恶化.如不及时纠正,后果不堪设想。本文采用4种水资源利用方案构造一个层次分析模型,计算出对总目标——开、孔河水资源合理利用的最佳方案,供领导单位决策。

USING LAYER ANALYSIS MODEL TO MAKE STRATEGIC DECISION OF RATIONAL USE AND CONSERVATION OF WATER RESOURCES-A CASE OF KARAXAHAR RIVER, KONGQUE RIVER AND BAGRAX LAKE IN XINJIANG UYGUR AUTONOMOUS REGION

Water resources rational use and conservation of. Karaxahar River, Bagrax Lake and Kongque River in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region are very complica-ted system. Because the deviation of water resources in upper reaches and lower reaches, ecological environment of Bagrax Lake is deteriorated increasingly. The consequences would be too ghostly to contemplate if the deviation would not be put in right way at once.In this paper, by using four water resources utilization schemes, the aut-hors established a hierarchic structural model, calculated and worked out the optimal scheme for general goal of water resources rational use of Karaxahar and Kongque Rivers