巢湖流域人口承载力及适度人口研究

人口与环境有着密切的关系。在统计数据基础上,选取经济发展和资源利用水平指标,对1990—2007年巢湖流域人口承载力和实现可持续发展的适度人口规模进行了定量分析,结果显示：18年间巢湖流域实际人口规模均超出流域经济资源的实际承载能力和流域实现可持续发展的适度人口容量。认为,人口压力是巢湖水质恶化、治理举步维艰的重要原因,为综合治理巢湖污染、制定流域人口与资源、环境可持续发展的人口政策提供一个量化基础。

On the Population Capacity of Chaohu Lake Basin and Its Optimum Population

Population and environment are closely related.Based on the statistical data,index of its e-conomic development and resource utilization,this article makes a quantitative analysis of the popula-tion capacity of Chaohu Lake basin and its optimum population for its sustainable development from 1990 to 2007,which shows that its factual population goes beyond its possible capacity and optimum population.It also puts that population pressure is the essential reason for its water degradation and the difficulty for its pollution control.So it provides a quantitative reference for the pollution control of Chaohu Lake and the population policy for its sustainable development of population,resources and en-vironment.