首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      

2017年中国经济核心指标预测
引用本文:中国科学院预测科学研究中心宏观经济部.2017年中国经济核心指标预测[J].中国科学院院刊,2017,32(1):64-69.
作者姓名:中国科学院预测科学研究中心宏观经济部
作者单位:中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 北京 100190
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71125005、71673269、71431008),国家社科基金(15ZDA011)
摘    要:2016年,我国经济增长下行势头减缓,国内生产总值(GDP)增速全年运行平稳,保持在6.7%水平上。物价延续了2015年温和上涨走势,涨幅较2015年同期有所扩大,全年消费价格指数(CPI)约为2.1%。预计2017年我国经济将呈现“稳中略降,稳中向好”态势,全年GDP增速约为6.5%左右。物价继续保持温和上涨的态势,2017年全年CPI涨幅2.3%左右。三大需求中,进出口将继续表现为负增长。以美元计价,预计2017年进出口总额下降约5.4%左右,出口同比下降约6.9%,进口同比下降约3.4%。消费将保持平稳增长,预计2017年最终消费增速在9%左右。投资增速将略有上升,预计2017年固定资产投资增速在8.5%左右。

关 键 词:经济增长  物价  投资  消费  进出口  预测
收稿时间:2016/12/25 0:00:00

Forecasting China's Major Economic Indexes for 2017
Division of Macro-economy Study,Center for Forecasting Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences.Forecasting China's Major Economic Indexes for 2017[J].Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2017,32(1):64-69.
Authors:Division of Macro-economy Study  Center for Forecasting Science  Chinese Academy of Sciences
Institution:Division of Macro-economy Study, Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
Abstract:In 2016, the downward speed of China''s economic growth became slow, GDP growth in the whole year ran smoothly. It may reach about 6.7% annually. Prices kept the moderate upward trend of 2015, and CPI might be about 2.1% in 2016. We expect that, in 2017, China''s economy will stay in a steady state with a slight decline, but turn to a good position. The annual GDP growth rate may reach about 6.5%. Prices continue to maintain the moderate upward trend, and the annual CPI probably increases about 2.3%. The import and export will have a negative growth, the total volume of import and export is expected to decline by about 5.4%, exports fell by about 6.9%, imports fell by about 3.4% respectively. The consumption will maintain steady growth in 2017, and the final consumption growth rate is expected to around 9%. The investment growth rate might rise slightly in 2017. It is expected that the growth rate of fixed assets investment reaches around 8.5%.
Keywords:economic growth  price  investment  consumption  foreign trade  forecasting
点击此处可从《中国科学院院刊》浏览原始摘要信息
点击此处可从《中国科学院院刊》下载免费的PDF全文
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号