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道路危险品运输的系统动力学模型
引用本文:唐丽敏,唐磊,于越.道路危险品运输的系统动力学模型[J].上海海事大学学报,2011,32(2):61-66.
作者姓名:唐丽敏  唐磊  于越
作者单位:大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,辽宁大连,116026
基金项目:辽宁省教育厅高等学校科研项目(2009A814)
摘    要:为分析评价道路危险品运输管理政策的实施效果,基于我国道路危险品运输管理现状,建立道路危险品运输的系统动力学模型.综合分析法规、行政、经济等3种管理方式,提出减免合法危险品运输企业营业税的政策建议,并对政策实施效果进行模拟.模拟结果表明:在该项政策的支持下,合法运输企业可以提供更具竞争力的价格,最终达到降低危险品运输事故...

关 键 词:危险品  运输  系统动力学  政策效果  模拟
收稿时间:8/30/2010 7:39:29 PM
修稿时间:2011/2/25 0:00:00

System dynamics model of road transportation of hazardous materials
tang li min,tang lei and yu yue.System dynamics model of road transportation of hazardous materials[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2011,32(2):61-66.
Authors:tang li min  tang lei and yu yue
Institution:Transportation Management Colledge,Dalian Maritime University,Transportation Management Colledge,Dalian Maritime University,Transportation Management Colledge,Dalian Maritime University
Abstract:In order to analyze and evaluate the implementing effect of road hazardous materials transportation management policy, the system dynamics model of the road hazardous materials transportation is established based on the situation of the road hazardous materials transportation management in China. Three management modes, including legislation, administration and economy, are analyzed synthetically, and the policy that reducing business tax for legitimate enterprises is recommended, and implementing effect of the policy is simulated at the same time. The stimulation results show that legitimate enterprises can provide competitive prices under the support of this policy, and attain the goal of cutting down the hazardous materials transportation accidents.
Keywords:hazardous materials  transportation  system dynamics  policy effect  simulation
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