近10年中国新疆与中亚对外贸易依存性发展

对中国新疆与中亚2005-2014年10年间对外贸易发展变化进行对比分析，研究在时间尺度上双方贸易额、贸易结合度、贸易差额及贸易发展环境的动态变化。结果表明：新疆对中亚国家贸易额逐年提升，在中国对中亚贸易中比例逐年下降；双方贸易结合度高，但结合度在逐年下降；新疆对中亚国家存在较大的贸易顺差，并且差额在持续扩大；新疆贸易发展环境优于中亚国家，近年双方贸易环境日趋转好。为进一步优化双方贸易，提出如下建议：加强新疆加工贸易的发展，提高进口原料的消化能力；加强新疆从中亚国家的进口工作，平衡双方贸易差额；积极推进双边自由贸易区的建设。

Development of foreign trade between Xinjiang of China and Central Asia over the past decade

This study makes a comparative analysis of the changes of foreign trade between Xinjiang of China and the countries in Central Asia from 2005 to 2014. The dynamic changes of bilateral trade, trade unions, trade balance, and trade development environment on the time scale are explored. The study results are shown as follows. 1) The trade volume between Xinjiang and countries in Central Asia has increased in the past years. However, in terms of trade with Central Asian countries, Xinjiang's dominant position in China has decreased gradually in the past years. 2) The bilateral trade has a high degree of integration, while the degree of dependence on trade is decreasing year by year. 3) There is a large surplus in the trade of Xinjiang with the countries in Central Asia, and the difference is expanding. 4) The trade development environment in Xinjiang is superior to those in Central Asian countries, and bilateral trade environment has been improved in recent years. In order to optimize the trade between the two sides, we put forward the suggestions for the trade development as follows. 1) The development of processing trade in Xinjiang should be strengthened to improve the digestion capacity of imported raw materials. 2) The imports from Central Asian countries should also be strengthened to balance the trade gap. 3) The bilateral free trade areas should be constructed to offer new chances to develop the trade cooperation among the countries.