中美俄20年奥运成绩变化及我国竞技体育战略抉择

运用文献资料、专家调查、数理统计等研究方法,对中国、美国和俄罗斯在第24到29届奥运会上取得的成绩进行了综合分析,并据此提出我国竞技体育的战略抉择.研究认为,体育体制与奥运强国之间、优势项目布局和奥运大国之间均没有必然的联系,基础大项的成绩与奥运强国之间的关系较为密切,三大球项目的成绩对一个国家竞技体育的形象影响较大.后奥运时代,我国应继续坚持和完善举国体制,大力发展传统优势项目,努力发展基础大项和三大球项目,构建"三位一体"的人才培养模式,进一步完善相关法律法规.

Olympic performance changes of China , U.Sand Russia in past 20 years and future strategies for Chinese competitive sports

With adoption of literature study , expert interview and mathematical statistics , the Olympic performance changes of China , U. S and Russia in the past twenty years with the purpose of making the future strategies for the Chinese competitive sports. It is held that there is no certain relation between sports system and becoming top in the Olympic Games , nor is there any between distribution of advantageous sports events and the making of strong nations in the Olympic Games. Whether the performances in the basic sports events are goodor not is related to whether a nation can be the best in the Olympic Games. To win in basketball ,football and volleyball is important to the image of a nation ’s competitive sports. During the post2Olympic era , China should perfect its sports system , athlete training mode and legal system in order to be better in sports.