非常规突发事件个体决策行为影响因素研究

构建基于系统动力学的非常规突发事件个体决策行为影响模型,并通过实证分析验证了该模型。结果表明:随着决策过程的进行,各情景的决策误差度会逐步降低;各情景的决策时间渐渐缩短。

Study on the Influential Factors of Individual Decision-making Behavior of Unconventional Emergency

This paper builds up a model of the decision-making behavior of unconventional emergency based on system dynamic method.Then it takes an empirical analysis to simulate the decision-making behavior of the decision makers.The result shows that the decision-making errors in various scenarios would gradually reduce,the decision-making time of each scenario would gradually shorten and the decision-making radical degree of risk would rise with the unconventional emergency decision-making progress being carried out.