基于SWOT方法对新常态下中国经济持续发展的增长空间和增长途径分析

金融危机后时代,作为中国经济增长的一个重要动力的外销市场面临较为严峻的困境,同时国内一些行业也面临较为严重的产能过剩问题。因此,有人预言未来中国经济的发展前景将会受到不利影响,经济增长的速度也会急剧放缓。在这种情况下尤其需要厘清中国经济未来发展的基本方向和路径。本文运用SWOT这个常用的战略分析方法,根据新形势下中国经济发展所面临的机遇和挑战,结合中国经济发展的自身条件,对后危机时代中国经济的发展模式和主要途径做一个全面的分析、探讨,以图为我国经济的长期持续增长探寻更加清晰、明确的发展路径。并由此得出一个基本结论,即无论是基于外部环境的变化,还是基于内部条件的变化,都需要将中国经济未来发展的重心更多地转移到国内市场,形成以国内市场为主要增长动力的内源驱动型经济增长模式,从而继续保持我国经济的长期稳定和持续发展。

Analysis of China's Economic Growth Space and Primary Path to Sustainable Development in the New Normal Era Based on SWOT Method

After financial crisis in western countries, as one of the most important driving forces of China's economy, export to western market will decline greatly, and this situation will continue in the future. Therefore, some people say that China's economic growth will slow down drastically. In this scenario, we should be clear about the future direction and path of China's economic growth. This paper clarifies the growth space and path of China's economy lie in its domestic market, and illustrate that by changing its growth model, China's economy will keep its robust pace in post crisis era.