Untangling Trustworthiness and Uncertainty in Science

Science & Education - This article focuses on uncertainty—ways in which scientists recognize and analyze limits in their studies and conclusions. We distinguish uncertainty from...     

Instructional practices in secondary science: How teachers achieve local and standards-based success

This article reports on analyses of the instructional practices of six middle- and high-school science teachers in the United States who participated in a research-practice partnership that aims to support reform science education goals at scale. All six teachers were well qualified, experienced, and locally successful—respected by students, parents, colleagues, and administrators—but they differed in their success in supporting students' three-dimensional learning. Our goal is to understand how the teachers' instructional practices contributed to their similarities in achieving local success and to differences in enabling students' learning, and to consider the implications of these findings for research-practice partnerships. Data sources included classroom videos supplemented by interviews with teachers and focus students and examples of student work. We also compared students' learning gains by teacher using pre–post assessments that elicited three-dimensional performances. Analyses of classroom videos showed how all six teachers achieved local success—they led effectively managed classrooms, covered the curriculum by teaching almost all unit activities, and assessed students' work in fair and efficient ways. There were important differences, however, in how teachers engaged students in science practices. Teachers in classrooms where students achieved lower learning gains followed a pattern of practice we describe as activity-based teaching, in which students completed investigations and hands-on activities with few opportunities for sensemaking discussions or three-dimensional science performances. Teachers whose students achieved higher learning gains combined the social stability characteristic of local classroom success with more demanding instructional practices associated with scientific sensemaking and cognitive apprenticeship. We conclude with a discussion of implications for research-practice partnerships, highlighting how partnerships need to support all teachers in achieving both local and standards-based success.     

A two-stage proxy variable approach to estimating movie box office receipts

This paper advances the ongoing discussion of methods for predicting movie box office revenues with two contributions to the methodology and an out-of-sample test of the model. The first innovation is the development of a two-stage model using publicly available pre-release indicators to predict (1) initial week and (2) subsequent run box office revenues. To incorporate the experience-good nature of movies, the second stage is estimated by incorporating a proxy variable for box office success during the first week relative to predicted first week success. The second contribution is an empirical test of De Vany and Walls’ (J Econ Dyn Control 28:1035–1057, 2004) finding that the distribution of movie revenues has “heavy tails” and follows a non-Gaussian stable distribution with infinite variance. We estimate the two-stage model of a movie’s box office success on all general release movies in 1 year with both the Gaussian and stable distribution with heavy tails and infinite variance and find no evidence for the stable distribution in either stage of the estimation. This two-stage model is validated by comparing all general release movies in 3 future years (out-of-sample data) to the model’s predictions.     

Language and reading impairments are associated with increased prevalence of non-right-handedness

Handedness has been studied for association with language-related disorders because of its link with language hemispheric dominance. No clear pattern has emerged, possibly because of small samples, publication bias, and heterogeneous criteria across studies. Non-right-handedness (NRH) frequency was assessed in N = 2503 cases with reading and/or language impairment and N = 4316 sex-matched controls identified from 10 distinct cohorts (age range 6–19 years old; European ethnicity) using a priori set criteria. A meta-analysis (N_cases = 1994) showed elevated NRH % in individuals with language/reading impairment compared with controls (OR = 1.21, CI = 1.06–1.39, p = .01). The association between reading/language impairments and NRH could result from shared pathways underlying brain lateralization, handedness, and cognitive functions.     

Background issues relating to the proposed Mass Literacy Campaign in Nigeria

Literacy education in Nigerian history finds its roots in the efforts of missionary endeavour. Subsequent work in the field has always been piecemeal and unco-ordinated, even though a degree of success has been achieved and valuable experience gained. The Federal Government's decision to launch a Mass Literacy Campaign in 1982 is primarily a political response to the needs and exigencies of a developing country rich both in natural and manpower resources. The campaign is seen not only as a necessary means of creating a permanently literate society within ten years but also as an assertion of the nation's unity. The problems of undertaking such a project are immensely complicated by the plethora of local languages and cultures, the preservation of which is seen to be imperative. But the campaign can succeed if the crucial issues identified in the article — functionality, personnel, training and materials, motivation, and above all the language to be used as the medium of literacy education — are resolved; if assistance from national development organisations and international bodies is matched by the determination of the government to create an environment capable of sustaining and reinforcing literacy and conducive to the use of the skills acquired; and if the illiterate respond with initiative and perseverence to the opportunity offered them.

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Zusammenfassung Die Alphabetisierung in Nigeria hat ihre historischen Wurzeln in missionarischen Bemühungen. Alle spätere Arbeit auf diesem Gebiet war stückenhaft und unkoordiniert, wenn ihr auch ein gewisses Maß von Erfolg beschieden war und wertvolle Erfahrungen gemacht wurden. Der Beschluß der nigerianischen Regierung, im Jahre 1982 eine Massen-Alphabetisierungskampagne durchzuführen, ist vor allem eine politische Antwort auf die Bedürfnisse und Erfordernisse eines an natürlichen und menschlichen Ressource reichen Entwicklungslandes. Die Kampagne wird nicht nur als notwendiges Mittel angesehen, innerhalb von zehn Jahren eine bleibend alphabetisierte Gesellschaft zu schaffen, sondern auch als eine Bestätigung der Einheit der Nation. Die einem solchen Projekt anhaftenden Probleme werden durch die Vielfalt einheimischer Sprachen und Kulturen, deren Erhaltung als unerläßlich betrachtet wird, außerordentlich kompliziert. Dennoch kann das Unternehmen zum Erfolg führen, wenn die wichtigsten, in diesem Artikel herausgearbeiteten Fragen — Funktionalität, Personal, Ausbildung und Materialien, Motivation und besonders die für die Alphabetisierung benutzte Sprache — gelöst werden; wenn der Unterstützung durch nationale Entwicklungsstellen und internationale Organisationen eine entsprechende Entschlossenheit der Regierung gegenübersteht, eine Umgebung herzustellen, die die Alphabetisierung aufrechterhalten und konsolidieren kann und zum Gebrauch der erworbenen Fähigkeiten herausfordert; und wenn die Analphabeten die ihnen gebotene Gelegenheit mit Initiative und Ausdauer nutzen.

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Résumé L'alphabétisation dans l'histoire nigériane prend sa source dans les efforts des missions religieuses. Le travail postérieur dans ce domaine a toujours été fragmentaire et sans coordination, bien qu'on ait atteint un certain degré de succès et qu'on ait acquis une expérience précieuse. La décision du Gouvernement Fédéral de lancer une Campagne d'Alphabétisation Massive en 1982 est avant tout une réponse politique aux besoins et aux exigences d'un pays en développement riche en ressources tant naturelles qu'humaines. Cette campagne est considérée non seulement comme un moyen nécessaire de créer une société définitivement alphabète en dix ans mais aussi comme une assertion de l'unité de la nation. Les problèmes soulevés par l'entreprise d'un tel projet sont énormément compliqués par la pléthore des langues et des cultures indigènes, dont la préservation est regardée comme impérative. Néanmoins, cette campagne a des chances de réussir si les points critiques identifiés dans cet article — fonctionnalité, personnel, formation et matériel, motivation, et par dessus tout la langue à employer comme véhicule de l'alphabétisation — sont résolus; si l'assistance accordée par les organisations pour le développement national et par les organismes internationaux rencontre sur le même niveau la détermination du gouvernment de créer un environment capable de maintenir et de renforcer l'alphabétisation qui soit aussi favorable à l'utilisation des connaissances et de l'expérience acquises; et si les illettrés répondent par la persévérance et par l'initiative aux occasions qui leur sont offertes.

     

The Components of Great Sex

Ubiquitous “sex tips” in popular media evidence an unquenchable public interest in learning how to experience “great sex,” and studies confirm that a great sexual relationship correlates to general relationship satisfaction, which in turn correlates to overall happiness. While studies of great sex or “optimal sexuality” are few, enough is known to conclude that the paths to great sex depicted in popular media are largely dead ends. This lesson plan will help educators (a) dispel inaccurate information about optimal sexuality disseminated in the popular media and (b) inform students about the components of optimal sexuality.