人民币汇率变动对我国体育用品制造业出口贸易结构的影响——基于2006.1-2010.5月度数据的实证研究

以2006年1月至2010年5月的月度数据为分析样本,在系统考虑影响我国体育用品制造业出口贸易的各种宏观经济因素的基础上,通过运用时间序列的单位根检验、协整关系检验与误差修正模型等方法,对人民币汇率变动与我国体育用品制造业出口贸易结构的长短期冲击效应进行了实证研究。结果表明:从长期来看,在控制其他宏观经济影响因素的前提下,人民币升值对体育用品制造业总出口贸易、球类制造业出口贸易、体育器材及配件制造业出口贸易均产生了非常明显的抑制效应。就短期而言,人民币升值对体育用品制造业出口贸易结构也产生了强烈的负向冲击作用。根据所得结论,探讨了导致该现象的相关原因,并就人民币汇率变动对我国体育用品制造业发展的正负面影响展开讨论。最后,从政府层面、企业层面及金融工具层面出发,提出了基于人民币汇率变动的我国体育用品制造业发展的应对策略,以供相关部门决策参考。     

Beyond labels: what are the salient features of lesson study and learning study?

ABSTRACT

Lesson Study and Learning Study are popular teacher professional development models across the world. Drawing on an extensive review of research and literature, this paper aims to identify the features of the two models to contrast and establish their similarities and differences particularly with regard to their application in practice. The paper focuses on their impact on teaching and learning as well as the rationale behind the process of Lesson Study and Learning Study. Four major distinctions between the two models are revealed: ways of identifying a topic for teaching, views and methods for understanding student learning, the focus of teacher collaboration on lesson design and implementation, and the overall instructional design. The paper concludes that the two models appeal to different practitioners depending on their aims and objectives in teaching and learning as well as their broader perspectives on education. In addition, this paper suggests that the two models could complement each other to improve the effectiveness of teaching and learning in different contexts.     

非物质文化遗产“火把节”与凉山旅游开发互动作用研究

保护、传承和发展少数民族节庆是民族地区发展旅游业的前提,发展旅游业对保护、传承和发展民族节庆有巨大的作用。非物质文化遗产,是以无形方式世代流传于人类社会的传统文化表现形式。凉山彝族国际火把节,作为我国首批非物质文化遗产,其开发极大的促进凉山州经济的发展。本文通过分析火把节的开发对凉山州旅游业的促进作用,以及凉山旅游的发展反过来对火把节的保护作用,探讨如何实现将两者协调发展。     

以就业能力为新的使命——高职高专院校组织变革的案例分析

本文以社会学理论和组织学理论为分析框架,研究中国高职院校正在经历的组织变革。在宏观层面上,在全球新自由主义的思潮下,高职院校正从社会公共机构向企业转变,将就业能力作为新的使命。在微观层面上,在新使命的影响下,高校在培养目标、专业发展、课程开发、教学方式、教师发展和内部管理方面发生了很大的变化。这些变化既符合以就业能力为核心竞争力的观点,也符合组织变革的冲击-反馈模式。一个潜在的后果是高职高专院校有可能退化为职前就业培训机构。     

Gorham-Stout syndrome in mainland China: a case series of 67 patients and review of the literature

Objective:Gorham-Stout syndrome (GSS) is a rare disorder of uncertain etiology and unpredictable prognosis. This study aims to present a comprehensive understanding of this rare entity. Methods:A literature search in PubMed and three Chinese databases was performed to screen histologically proven GSS cases among Chinese residents in the mainland. We analyzed the patients’ clinical characteristics, the value of different treatment modalities and their influence on the clinical outcome. Results:Sixty-seven cases were finally enrolled. There were 43 men (64.2%) and 24 women (35.8%). The mean age at diagnosis was 28 years (1.5-71 years). The most common clinical symptoms included pain (n=40, 59.7%), functional impairment (n=13, 19.4%), and swelling (n=12, 17.9%). The radiographic presentation of 37 cases (55.2%) was disappearance of a portion of the bone. The others presented as radiolucent foci in the intramedullary or subcortical regions. A total of 42 cases provided data on therapy, these included surgery (n=27, 40.3%), radiation therapy (n=6, 9.0%), surgery combined with radiation therapy (n=2, 3.0%), and medicine therapy (n=7, 10.4%). For 30 of these 42 cases, follow-up data were available:21 cases had the disorder locally controlled and 9 had a symptom progression. Fortunately, the disease is not fatal in the majority of cases. Conclusions:GSS has no specific symptoms and it should be taken into consideration when an unclear massive osteolysis occurs. The efficacies of different treatment modalities are still unpredictable and further research is required to assess the values of different treatments.     

《史记》人物创作的技巧性阐释

本文旨在以还原《史记》原始创作的动因、意向和方法为目的 ,从技巧这一阐释层面入手 ,来把握作者前创作心理及创作期心理 ,对《史记》人物的审美特质由点及面作了创作论上的观照     

我国城镇居民消费结构支出与体育用品制造业产出关系的实证 研究

运用因子分析、聚类分析、比较分析及多元回归分析等方法,对我国城镇居民消费结构支出与体育用品制造业产出的关系进行实证研究.结果表明:城镇居民消费结构支出综合评价得分靠前的分别是上海、广东、北京、浙江和天津,体育用品制造业产出综合评价得分领先的依次为广东、上海、浙江、江苏和福建,说明城镇居民消费结构支出与体育用品制造业产出状况存在明显的区域差异性,总体表现为东部显著优于中西部.城镇居民消费支出水平越高,消费结构越合理,其对推动体育用品制造业的发展将产生积极作用,而体育用品制造业的发展壮大也将不断升级优化城镇居民的消费结构支出.食品、衣着、交通和通信、教育文化娱乐服务消费支出对体育用品制造业的发展影响非常显著,但家庭设备用品及服务、医疗保健、居住、杂项商品和服务消费支出对其发展的影响则较微弱.     

廉泉与文明书局

清末,廉泉与俞复等创办了文明书局,以出版新式教科书闻名业内.廉泉支持赵鸿雪采用新工艺,研制珂罗版等技术,提高了书业的印刷工艺;廉泉在人才培养和作者发掘方面也颇具眼光,文明书局成为汇聚人才的渊薮;同时,廉泉注重版权维护,与盗版、翻印行为做斗争,成为近代出版的先驱.     

影响体育消费者购买行为的经济学分析

运用文献资料、逻辑推理、归纳演绎等方法,从体育消费者自身角度出发,对影响体育消费者购买行为的经济学因素进行深入分析,旨在探明制约我国体育消费水平的主要原因,以期为相关体育产业部门制定营销计划和战略选择提供理论参考,进而推动我国体育消费水平的不断提高。     

对我国体育品牌客户满意度结构模型的探索

随着经济的快速发展和市场经济体制的不断完善,客户满意和客户忠诚已经成为当前我国体育品牌在激烈的全球化市场竞争中能否取得成功的关键因素。本研究基于经典的顾客满意度指数结构模型,尝试建立我国体育品牌客户满意度的数学结构模型。同时采用层次分析法（AHP）确定评价指标的权重系数,并对该结构模型方程的求解过程进行探讨。