丽水市公共文化服务体系建设思路与对策研究

公共文化服务体系建设是维护公民基本文化权益、满足人民群众基本文化需求的重要保障,是维护公共文化生活的公平与正义,促进社会和谐稳定的必然要求,同时也是各级政府的基本职责。十八大以来,中央明确提出要建立公共文化服务体系建设协调机制,统筹服务设施网络建设,促进基本公共文化服务标准化、均等化。为全面贯彻落实中央关于“加快推进公共文化服务体系建设”的重要精神,课题组总结和分析了丽水市自“十二五”以来公共文化服务体系建设经验和存在的问题,通过进一步的实地考察和调查研究,提出了公共文化服务体系建设的思路和对策,为丽水市委、市政府作出科学决策和进行“十三五”公共文化服务体系建设的顶层设计提供参考。     

心理账户、享乐编辑与灌溉水价——来自四川省灌区农民的调查分析

分析农民对灌溉水价的内隐心理决策机理是理解农民的水费支付行为,以及解决灌溉水价现存问题的关键切入点之一。本文首次以行为经济学中关于主体经济决策的心理账户(MA)与享乐编辑(HE)理论对农民灌溉水价的心理决策机理做了理论分析,提出了两个研究假说,并以四川省的调查数据进行了验证与讨论。结果表明:灌溉水价的问题可通过提高水价和增加收入这两个方案的综合配套来解决。由于农民受MA影响,增加收入方案可将现行的暗中补贴改为明补,并设置成为国家专立的直接补贴农民的灌溉水价补贴项目;由于农民受HE规则影响,对两方案间分离实施的时间跨度与先后顺序、相对大小关系、实施频率与方式以及适用区域等都有特定要求,并且两方案在实施时的时间维度和空间维度上需以反享乐编辑规则对农民进行反向激励,本文均对其做了讨论与分析,最后还指出了进一步研究与创新的方向。     

国家情报评估与决策的关系——基于多源流理论和认知心理学双重视角

[目的 /意义]《国家情报评估》被认为是美国情报界最正规和最高水平的战略分析产品.对国家情报评估与决策的关系深入研究,可有助于我国完善科学决策体系,对国家治理体系现代化建设大有裨益.[方法/过程]基于多源流理论和认知心理学,从建议采纳视角出发构建出国家情报评估与决策的影响机制模型,借助模糊集定性比较分析法(fsQCA)...     

反恐情报信息决策性证据智能检索机制研究

[研究目的]反恐情报信息决策性证据的获取工作对反恐斗争的成败有着决定性的作用,故在此针对反恐情报信息决策性证据的智能检索机制展开研究。[研究方法]分析反恐情报信息的特征及反恐情报信息决策性证据在反恐决策中的作用,研究当前常用的反恐情报信息决策性证据检索方式与不足,针对已有检索方式的缺陷,为满足智能检索机制所需,提出并构建基于本体的反恐情报信息决策性证据智能检索机制,构建包含本体管理模块、用户问题处理模块、资源管理模块及智能检索主体模块等智能检索机制,并通过构建该智能检索机制实证模型,对该智能检索机制展开实证分析。[研究结论]结果表明,该智能检索机制的可靠性、安全性、可存取性、交互性及隐私性每提高1%,将会对反恐情报信息决策性证据获取成功率提高0.7701%~2.7990%,可为反恐情报信息分析与处理部门获取实时决策性证据奠定基础。     

对我国行政决策中公众参与的思考--从行政权发展民主化趋势的角度分析

公众参与行政决策是行政权发展民主化趋势的具体表现,公众参与可以使行政决策的过程更加民主,程序更加合理,效果更加突出。但是,目前公众参与行政决策还存在一些需要完善的方面。本文立足于对行政权发展民主化趋势的分析,对我国行政决策中的公众参与提出了若干完善意见。     

执行功能与决策的关系研究述评

决策是指对已有方案进行评估和选择的过程。该领域的研究主要集中在模糊决策、风险决策以及决策启发式三个方面。执行功能在不同类型的决策中有不同程度的参与。梳理执行功能与模糊决策、风险决策、决策启发式的关系研究,指出今后研究中要注意执行功能的个体差异、决策的主观意图以及其他影响因素的作用。     

体育健身娱乐产业项目投资开发研究

采用文献综述和调查访问法,对体育健身娱乐产业的项目投资开发体系进行研究的结果表明:建立该体系的作用,可预测到项目开发成功的把握在哪里;哪方面有可能会出现问题,做到提前预知,早做准备;避免盲目行动,给正确投资,减少一定的社会风险.研究目的是为决策者提供相应的理论参考和建议.     

Departmentalized,Self-Contained,or Somewhere in Between: Understanding Elementary Grade-Level Organizational Decision-Making

Recent trends indicate a move away from self-contained classrooms and toward content-focused departmentalization in elementary schools. This study takes a snapshot of the existing organizational structures used in elementary schools in one district and explores administrators’ beliefs and practices regarding this phenomenon. Our findings suggest administrators base their decisions to organize grade levels on various factors, including their own experiences, contextual dynamics, and personal perceptions of outcomes for students and teachers.     

Identifying families with complex needs after an initial child abuse investigation: A comparison of demographics and needs related to domestic violence,mental health,and substance use

Families with complex needs related to domestic violence, mental health, and substance use have some of the worst child protective services (CPS) outcomes. Although many of these families are identified during a CPS investigation and subsequently referred to home-based postinvestigation services (HBPS), many are re-reported to CPS, so it is important to understand the postinvestigation experiences of this vulnerable group. Therefore, this study compared families with and without complex needs to understand their uniquedemographics, needs, and postinvestigation outcomes.The sample consisted of 2008 caregivers who received HBPS following an initial CPS investigation. The Family Assessment Form (FAF) was used to measure family functioning in eight domains using a 1–5 scale with higher ratings representing worse functioning. Complex needs were indicated by a mean FAF score of 3 or higher for either domestic violence, mental health, or substance use. Using Pearson chi-square analyses and two-sample t-tests, comparisons were made between families with (n = 836) and without (n = 1172) complex needs. Half of caregivers with complex needs had a history of abuse, 25% had three to five needs, and nearly half had six to eight needs; 90% of caregivers without complex needs had zero to two needs. Furthermore, caregivers with complex needs had higher mean scores for concrete, educational, and clinical needs. These findings highlight the importance of recognizing variation among families referred to HBPS and accurate screening to ensure that families with complex needs are offered and receive services matched to their unique characteristics and needs.     

Situation awareness in sea kayaking: towards a practical checklist

Ever-changing weather and sea conditions constitute environmental hazards that sea kayakers must pay attention to and act upon to stay safe. The aim of this study was to propose a tool to aid sea kayakers’ situation awareness (SA). We developed a checklist guided by theory on the concept of SA and expert problem detection, judgement and decision-making, along with knowledge concerning previous incidents and important risk factors in sea kayaking. The checklist consists of two parts: a guide to how paddlers can improve their SA and decision-making skills, and an overview of what critical factors should be evaluated before and during a sea kayak trip. We argue that the checklist may improve risk assessment and management among sea kayakers, help to prevent distress and future incidents, and ultimately potentially save lives. Finally, we wish to stimulate debate concerning risk management in sea kayaking and outdoor education.