从社会调查看民国时期华北地区的人口状况

从李景汉和当时其他学者的调查入手,考察华北地区人口的性别比例和增长类型,从而引出对人地关系的探讨,并且以后者为重点。同时,从人地关系的分析中,还可以得知农民并非是一个愚昧、落后的群体,他们对农业生产、日常生活的安排都是有一定合理性的,在他们的生活中潜藏着一种朴素的智慧。     

财政扩张机制下的消费约束研究

在今后一个时期内能有效带动中国经济发展的只能是消费需求,提升消费需求水平必须改变我国的现有财政政策,从控制财政收入增长速度到改变收入结构与支出结构,为有效提升消费水平提供支撑。     

Fitting Unstructured Finite Mixture Models in Longitudinal Design: A Recommendation for Model Selection and Estimation of the Number of Classes

In longitudinal design, investigating interindividual differences of intraindividual changes enables researchers to better understand the potential variety of development and growth. Although latent growth curve mixture models have been widely used, unstructured finite mixture models (uFMMs) are also useful as a preliminary tool and are expected to be more robust in identifying classes under the influence of possible model misspecifications, which are very common in actual practice. In this study, large-scale simulations were performed in which various normal uFMMs and nonnormal uFMMs were fit to evaluate their utility and the performance of each model selection procedure for estimating the number of classes in longitudinal designs. Results show that normal uFMMs assuming invariance of variance–covariance structures among classes perform better on average. Among model selection procedures, the Calinski–Harabasz statistic, which has a nonparametric nature, performed better on average than information criteria, including the Bayesian information criterion.     

企业进入、产业波动与就业增长——对我国高技术产业的实证分析

考虑可能影响地区就业增长的微观和宏观因素,利用我国2000—2009年31个省市区高技术产业的数据,通过面板PDLS模型和分位数回归模型实证分析企业进入和产业波动对就业增长的影响,研究结果表明:企业进入对就业增长的影响呈现出波浪形的变化趋势,从短期和长期来看,企业进入对就业增长有正向的促进作用,但从中期来看则表现为负向影响;产业波动对就业增长的影响呈现出先正后负的变化趋势,在短期内产业波动可以促进就业增长,长期内则会抑制就业增长。政府应降低行政性准入壁垒对企业进入的消极影响,营造公平的市场进入环境和完善的产业发展环境。     

A meaning-making model of post-migration growth for mainland Chinese university students in Hong Kong

Studies of stress-related growth have demonstrated the central role of meaning-making processes in the occurrence of growth following stressful life experiences, but few have examined its role in the context of acculturation. This study developed and tested a meaning-making model of post-migration growth using bootstrap-based mediation analysis with a sample of 489 mainland Chinese university students in Hong Kong. The data were collected through an online cross-sectional survey. The results showed that acculturative stressor was a significant risk factor and that sense-making coping and core belief re-examination acted as significant protective factors for post-migration growth. Sense-making coping and core belief re-examination, in sequence, partially mediated the relationship between acculturative stressor and post-migration growth. This model demonstrates the importance of the cognitive processing of meaning-making in Chinese students’ post-migration growth.     

An examination of the relationship between social self-efficacy and personal growth initiative in international context

The cross-cultural transitioning experience of international students has been viewed as a high-impact practice for student learning. International students experience both challenges and growth opportunities when they encounter new peoples and environments. However, limited research exists on the student factors that predict benefits, growth or resilience for international students through their cross-cultural transitioning experience. This study investigated social self-efficacy as a predictor of personal growth initiative amongst international students, above and beyond demographic and linguistic factors. In addition, the factorial structure of Personal Growth Initiative Scale-II was examined. Our results indicated that the perceived ability to successfully negotiate social situations and produce positive social interactions predict greater personal growth initiative and its dimensions regardless of students’ language proficiency. Moreover, results from the confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) provided further support for the first-order four-factor structure of the PGIS-II. Results have implications for improving international student integration, because efforts to support students’ social self-efficacy are linked to their personal growth initiative.     

Mapping cultural assets and evaluating significance: theory,methodology and practice

Over the last decade in the UK, there has been a notable shift in the popularity and use of cultural mapping as a methodology for policy making at a regional and local level. This follows increased demand for an informed framework for planning arts and cultural facilities from local and regional government and from within the cultural sector (Evans, 2008: p. 65). The article begins with an exploration of cultural mapping within cultural policy, which explores the context for the growth in this area of activity, and why this kind of activity appeals to policy makers and organisations. It then goes on to examine four cultural mapping exercises which have been undertaken in recent years in the UK. These studies have been chosen because although they all focus the mapping of cultural assets within a specific geographic area, they differ to one degree or another in purpose, context, definition, geographic scale and methodology. They illustrate the narrow range of approaches deployed in the cultural mapping field in the UK, and as such provide a useful means of critically reviewing their limits as well as highlighting the issues and challenges faced by cultural cartography in practice. The article concludes by considering the type of mapping research that is “allowed” within the discursive confines of consultancy based cultural policy research.     

浙江乡村汉族6～22岁学生身高生长发育自然增长变化特征的比较研究

依据《2000年全国学生体质与健康调研报告》中所颁布的调研数据，对浙江乡村汉族6～22岁学生身高生长发育自然增长变化的特征进行系统的比较分析研究。结果显示：浙江乡村汉族男、女生身高自然增长值和自然增长率百分比，其大小排序的年龄段与全国乡村汉族男、女生的不同，其中男生的年龄段要少于全国（7／⑨），其整体增长水平也低于全国整体增长水平（3．56cm／5．37cm）女生的年龄段要多于全国（9／⑦），但其整体增长水平要低于全国整体增长水平（4．77cm／5．00cm）。     

游泳对大鼠心肌碱性成纤维细胞生长因子(bFGF)表达的影响

目的:碱性成纤维细胞生长因子(bFGF)有强烈诱导血管生成和修复血管损伤的作用,故其在心肌中的表达程度可以作为判断运动对心脏侧枝血管生成影响的指标.以雄性SD大鼠为实验对象,通过施加中等强度的游泳训练,观察运动训练对SD大鼠心肌组织学结构和bFGF表达的影响,为运动医学与心脏康复的理论和实践提供依据;方法:将32只健康雄性SD大鼠按体重随机分为2组:对照组(C组);运动组(E组),每组均为16只.C组安静饲养,不进行运动训练,但需放入过膝浅水中以模拟训练组环境;E组大鼠每周训练6天,每天训练1次.从第1周开始适应性游泳训练,第一次游泳5min,此后逐日累加5min,至第3周末时每天游满2h.此后,从第4周起维持这一运动量直至第8周.第8周进行游泳训练后,即刻处死各组大鼠,取出心脏称湿重以做心脏系数统计,并切取左心室前壁组织块,做HE染色和bRGF免疫组织化学染色.用光学显微镜观察各组心肌及心肌间质的变化,并用图像采集分析系统观测各组HE染色和bFGF免疫组织化学染色变化,做统计学处理;实验结果:1)一般情况观察:心脏重量和心系数,E组较C组显著增加(P＜0.01);2)心肌组织学观察,HE染色显示C组心肌组织形态正常;而E组呈现生理性肥大变化,心脏毛细血管功能结构产生了良好的重构,心肌组织之间毛细血管的密度增加;3)bFGF免疫组织化学染色结果观察,C组呈弱阳性表达;E组呈较强的阳性表达;心肌细胞中bFGF表达呈特异性棕黄染色颗粒,以计算机显微图像采集分析系统计算bFGF染色面积,发现E组大于C组(P＜0.01);bFGF染色平均密度E组大于C组(P＜0.01);bFGF染色积分光密度,E组均大于C组(P＜0.01);结论:本实验观察到,适宜的耐力运动训练可以使心肌细胞、心肌血管内皮细胞等部位bFGF的表达增强,改善心肌细胞的分子生物学特性、心脏毛细血管功能结构产生了良好的重构,心肌组织之间毛细血管的密度增加,毛细血管腔表面积密度增高,毛细血管与心肌纤维的比例增大,使心脏产生适应性生理肥大,表明中等强度的运动可以使心脏发生生理性肥大,其机理可能与bFGF的表达增强有关.     

基于理论研究视角下体育与经济增长和经济发展的关系

摘要：近几年体育和社会经济文化发展的关系日益紧密,体育消费和体育产业在经济增长和经济发展中的作用日益重要且多元化,体育产业吸引着越来越多的要素投入,现实要求理论研究更加深入且紧密结合实际。从理论研究进展的视角,运用文献资料法,以体育与经济增长和经济发展的关系为研究对象,对2001—2008年和2009—2015年2个阶段我国理论界的相关研究成果进行了较为系统的梳理。结果显示,在研究内容方面,体育产业将成为新的经济增长点、体育经济是克服经济衰退的特殊产业经济、体育产业的发展应重视绿色和环保等观点具有前瞻性和创新意义。在研究方法方面,第一阶段的定性分析和规范分析较多,第二阶段定量分析和实证分析逐渐增多。在对已有研究成果客观简要评价的基础上,提出未来一段时期体育与经济增长和经济发展关系研究的着眼点：1）加强跨学科理论研究;2）加强体育有效供给研究;3）加强体育与经济发展关系的研究;4）理论联系实际,加强定量研究,目的旨在使研究成果更好地服务于政府决策和企业发展。