Psychometric Properties of IRT Proficiency Estimates

Psychometric properties of item response theory proficiency estimates are considered in this paper. Proficiency estimators based on summed scores and pattern scores include non-Bayes maximum likelihood and test characteristic curve estimators and Bayesian estimators. The psychometric properties investigated include reliability, conditional standard errors of measurement, and score distributions. Four real-data examples include (a) effects of choice of estimator on score distributions and percent proficient, (b) effects of the prior distribution on score distributions and percent proficient, (c) effects of test length on score distributions and percent proficient, and (d) effects of proficiency estimator on growth-related statistics for a vertical scale. The examples illustrate that the choice of estimator influences score distributions and the assignment of examinee to proficiency levels. In particular, for the examples studied, the choice of Bayes versus non-Bayes estimators had a more serious practical effect than the choice of summed versus pattern scoring.     

运用双级数控选模法对体院教师工作状况(成绩)综合评定的实验研究

本文根据统计学原理、控制理论及人的认知规律研究设计出了双级数控选模评定模型,并试图将它应用于对体院教师工作状态(成绩)的综合考评,经过实验验证和理论分析,表明这一办法具有较强的科学性,且经济实用,达到了评定考核中减少人为因素影响、简化指标体系的目的。     

Peer assessment accounting for student agreement

Peer assessment has been gaining significant ground as a means of fostering an environment of accountability and responsibility for group projects in higher education. A popular peer assessment method assigns individual grades via a linear relationship to peer assessment scores. Using this method, a group member who receives his or her group’s average peer assessment score is assigned the instructor‐given group grade; the group member who receives a total peer assessment score of zero is assigned an individual grade of zero. Unfortunately, applying this method often requires time‐consuming exploratory data analysis because of the potential for the method to yield a high spread of grades, including grades over 100%. The present study proposes a modification, which accounts for the degree of student agreement. When the modified procedure results in a change from the group grade, the direction of change is always the same, but with smaller magnitude, requiring less subsequent data analysis and instructor time demands. Easy‐to‐modify SAS code for applying the method is presented in the Appendix.     

谈如何提高结构化学的教学

结构化学是师范院校化学专业的基础课程之一,因其较强的理论性,一直被学生视为最难学的课程,根据教学实践的体会,分别从如何提高课堂教学质量、结合学生反馈、利用多媒体辅助教学、引导学生自主学习四个方面进行了分析和讨论,对如何提高结构化学的课堂教学提出了自己的意见。     

专利权人引用网络中的媒介角色研究

对专利权人引用网络中的3种类型的媒介角色的概念、算法等进行梳理,根据媒介角色理论和知识交流理论对媒介角色是否影响专利权人技术创新能力做理论推导,并提出3个假设。通过实证分析发现,不同的角色影响程度各不相同:中介中心性对专利权人技术创新能力的影响力最大;5种桥系数小于中介中心性,影响最小的是结构洞约束。     

新一代天气雷达运行能力评估研究

研究我国新一代天气雷达运行能力的评估方法,建立天气雷达运行能力评估指标体系,合理地选取现有的新一代天气雷达数据资料,定量地评估各型号、分时段的雷达业务可用性、可靠性、可维修性及其变化趋势.编制能反映雷达运行能力的各类评估图表,并以图表的分析为依据,提出今后发展建议.     

应用于钱塘江、太湖流域面雨量预报的MM5产品释用技术

在2007～2009年浙江省气象台钱塘江、太湖流域面雨量24 h、48 h预报的基础之上,开展了面雨量释用研究,采用的方法为对数线性释用方法,释用后预报可信度明显增加.本文对面雨量的模糊评分方法做了改进,使之更具有实际可操作性.试验证明,用绝对误差和改进的模糊评分两种办法结合起来对面雨量预报做检验,能够较客观的反映预报...     

民工荒与大学生就业难的结构性矛盾浅议

目前,我国劳动力市场存在民工短缺和大学生就业困难的结构性矛盾,折射出我国经济增长方式和产业结构的不合理以及劳动力市场分割和资源配置效率低下的问题。同时,民工荒和大学生就业难二者自身也存在结构性矛盾,需要国家宏观的战略调整和有关各方的切实努力。     

液氯汽车罐车可靠性的模糊神经网络评价

可靠性评价在保证危险化学品汽车罐车输运安全方面具有重要意义。依据液氟汽车罐车的结构特点及国家法律法规的要求,比较全面地构建了液氯汽车罐车可靠性参数作为输入结点,选取罐车构造指标的一些样本对网络进行训练学习,提出了基于模糊神经网络的危险化学品汽车罐车可靠性评价模型。理论分析和实例计算表明,该模型假设合理,计算结果合理,精度较高,在危险化学品汽车罐车可靠性评价中有彳艮好的适用性。     

消费者网上支付系统采用的影响因素研究

越来越多的消费者认可并接受网上支付,影响消费者网上支付的因素也非常多。本文在对相关文献进行回顾的基础上,结合中国电子商务市场的实际情况,提出了确定影响消费者网上支付采用的7个因素,并基于信度分析、效度分析及回归分析和对消费者使用网上支付平台的影响因素进行了实证研究。