Near Field Communication: Introduction and Implications

Near field communication is an emerging technology that allows objects, such as mobile phones, computers, tags, or posters, to exchange information wirelessly across a small distance. Though primarily associated with mobile payment, near field communication has many different potential commercial applications, ranging from marketing to nutrition, transportation, gaming, and health care. In libraries, near field communication could enhance outreach and existing services such as self-checkout. More importantly, near field communication also serves as a new way to link physical materials with digital information, potentially transforming the way users interact with the information environment. This introduction to near field communication will address its background and functionality, its current and anticipated commercial applications, and its potential effect on libraries, librarians, and library patrons. The authors of the article will also discuss the time frame for mainstream adoption, and the privacy and security concerns of this new technology.     

When prophecy fails

Inaccurate predictions about educational technology are discussed, and the tendency for them to go unchallenged. Their global generalizability is questionable when the expertise underlying them is restricted to local contexts or is unknown. The limitations of futuristic studies need to be stressed to prevent their conclusions from being applied out of context. Problems arise when studies inaccurately claiming to represent developing-world needs and conditions are used for educational planning in those nations. The article analyzes the predictions made by the annual Horizon Reports and the One Laptop Per Child project. It suggests that these projects are currently responding to criticism in a manner similar to that described in the classic study When Prophecy Fails.     

Partners in Loving the Children: Roles and Relationships in Teaching and in Parenting

The author describes how her perspectives as a teacher educator and as a parent were extended and enriched as her daughter entered school and learned to read. She highlights the importance of prioritizing love in her engagement with her child's teachers and in her professional thinking and actions as a teacher educator.     

新出现趋势识别和分析方法引介

 新出现趋势是一个新研究论题深入研究并日趋重要的趋势。这种趋势在科学前沿形成,通过研究人员相互引用表现出来。检测这样的趋势所用的方法起源于引文分析。以前,引文分析仅仅是简单的静态的数量分析,而现在开始利用复杂网络分析和时间序列分析进行动态发展趋势预测。目前新出现趋势分析的方法主要有两种：一是从高引用文章组成的聚类串随时间推移的变化特征中检测出新出现趋势。二是在引文网络中所形成的研究社区中检测新出现趋势。目前新出现趋势分析还要在三个方面进行深入研究：一是要在实证研究充分开展的基础上,调查各个研究领域中新出现趋势的形成机制。二是要研究不同的时间序列对新出现趋势的识别和分析的影响。三是要研究新出现趋势对引文网络局部特征的影响。     

新兴市场国家汇率非线性特征研究——基于VWK模型的分析

基于VWK模型对金融危机时期的四个新兴市场国家(泰国、韩国和印度1990~2007年以及墨西哥1993~2007年)日汇率数据进行非线性特征研究,分析结果表明:四国汇率的非线性信息准则明显小于线性信息准则,表明各国汇率所反映的经济系统具有非线性特征;与危机推动转型的其他三国相比,印度实施的是自愿平稳转型,宏观经济各因素运行平稳,货币汇率波动起伏比较小,呈现出印度汇率的非线性程度较弱的特点;同时,基于VWK非线性模型对上述汇率进行预测,短期预报功率比较低,说明汇率的非线性模型较好地反映相应的经济系统。     

基于属性综合评价系统的新兴技术识别研究

摘要：新兴技术对经济、社会发展产生的重要作用,已逐步为各国政府和管理学界所公认。要投资新兴技术,首先要对其进行识别,以及评价和选择,然而新兴技术的高度不确定性和创造性毁灭特性给新兴技术的识别、评价和选择带来了巨大挑战。本文利用在属性集和属性测度理论基础上提出了属性综合评价和决策系统,对一组技术进行了判别,进而对其进行了分类,以求找出其中的新兴技术,为新兴技术的评价和选择,以及新兴技术的最终商业化和产业化奠定了坚实基础。     

第三方物流企业能力成熟度模型研究

首先从涌现理论的角度对第三方物流企业能力成熟度进行了深入分析.然后从刚性能力和柔性能力角度对关键能力元素进行选取,基于简单数据假设构建了3PL成熟度模型,将成熟度划分为5个等级(初始级、成长级、竞争级、优化级和卓越级),并对每一级别加以详细描述.最后,文章通过一个案例对企业能力成熟度模型加以验证.     

技术推动型与市场拉动型新兴技术演化模式对比研究——基于动态战略管理的视角

借鉴技术创新的"市场拉动-技术推动"理论,通过对大量新技术演化过程的回溯性分析,提出了技术推动型和市场拉动型两种新兴技术演化模式,并分别对两类新兴技术的演化过程按其特点进行阶段划分和关键参与者辨识;在此基础上从战略驱动力量、不确定性等方面对两类新兴技术演化模式进行了对比分析,进而提出了企业管理不同阶段、不同类型新兴技术的战略重点。     

基于不连续创新的新兴技术形成路径研究

基于新兴技术的概念和特点,在前人对技术不连续创新的研究基础上,讨论了新兴技术形成的必要条件是技术进步和应用扩展的不连续的共同作用,由此探讨了新兴技术的形成路径．     

新兴技术辨识的组织理论解释

新兴技术的辨识至关重要但也非常困难．比较了职能论者与战略选择理论对组织战略的不同解释;分析了新兴技术与组织战略的匹配性．进一步,建立了以战略选择理论为基础的新兴技术认知模型,重点分析了高层管理团队对新兴技术管理的重要影响．通过对IBM和Seagate两家企业的案例分析,验证了模型的应用价值．