基于复合模型理论的害虫测报方法研究

本文总结了害虫预测预报四个不同时期(经验预测、实验预测、统计预测及信息预测)常用的预测预报方法;概述了惯性原则下的害虫可预测预报科学依据,借助Logistic方程分析了害虫种群系统发生发展最终呈现混沌性的规律;根据害虫种群混沌系统中非线性及线性共存的特点,提出了害虫预测预报方法中运用复合模型理论的改进设想。     

椭圆型方程广义解的极大值原理

本文证明了方程的有界广义解u(除常数外),当以B(x,u,ζ)关于ζ增长的阶大于p-1(但不大于p)时,成立下列极大值原理:     

基于新鲜度和配送成本的易腐食品配送路径

为解决企业在制定易腐食品配送计划时难以权衡配送总成本与交付产品的新鲜度的问题,建立以配送总成本最低和交付产品平均新鲜度最大为目标,带时间窗的易腐食品配送路径规划模型。采用自适应差分进化(differential evolution,DE)算法求解模型,通过数值算例验证模型和算法的有效性。与基本DE算法和基本蚁群算法的求解结果进行对比,自适应DE算法的求解结果更优,收敛速度更快。求得的帕累托解集表明配送总成本与交付产品平均新鲜度相悖,增加少量的配送成本可以使交付产品的平均新鲜度得到大幅提升。对易腐食品保质期、时间窗宽度和车辆装载量进行灵敏度分析,为企业在不同配送情景下在配送总成本与交付产品的平均新鲜度之间的权衡提供参考。     

Social identification,exercise participation,and positive exercise experiences: Evidence from parkrun

Growing evidence suggests that social identities may have profound implications for physical activity participation. Real-world examinations of this relationship have, however, been lacking, with research predominantly examining intentions and hypothetical scenarios. To address this shortcoming and further advance understanding in this area, the present study tested relationships between group identification, participation, two exercise-specific outcomes (exercise-specific satisfaction and group cohesion), and a broad health indicator (life satisfaction) among individuals recruited from parkrun. Participants (N = 289) completed questionnaires measuring all variables except participants’ parkrun participation, which was objectively assessed. Structural equation modeling demonstrated that group identification was significantly associated with greater participation, exercise-specific satisfaction, group cohesion, and life satisfaction. Findings provide real-world evidence of the health-related benefits associated with forming strong social identities in exercise settings.     

基于ActiGraph GT3X监测网球运动能量消耗的研究

目的:应用ActiGraph GT3X对网球运动等非周期性运动能量消耗进行测评,建立适合网球运动能耗预测的回归方程,从而丰富ActiGraph测量体系.方法:以K4b2测量值作为校标,分别在拍柄、持拍手手腕外侧、腰部髂肌外侧、大腿中央前侧和脚踝外侧(持拍手同一侧肢体)各佩戴一个加速度计(ActiGraph GT3X),同步对网球运动中不同球速下(30 km/h、60 km/h)的原地正、反手击球,侧向移动正、反手击球,向前移动正、反手击球,侧向移动正反手交替击球和模拟自由单打的运动过程进行监测.结果:腰部、大腿和踝关节部位GT3X的EE和MET预测值存在明显低估,与K4b2测量值一致性较低;手腕和拍柄部位GT3X的EE和MET预测值存在明显高估,与K4b2测量值一致性较低;研究建立了2个网球运动能耗预测回归方程,经检验其预测值与实测值没有显著性差异.结论:运用ActiGraph GT3X对网球等隔网对抗运动项目进行监测存在显著误差,EE和MET的预测存在明显高估或低估的现象;基于ActiGraph GT3X所建立的能耗预测方程能对网球运动进行有效的运动监测.     

西非—中国航线原油远洋运输方案优化

为满足西非—中国航线的原油远洋运输方案的时效性要求,以油船运费、滞期费和靠港费之和最低为目标函数,以供需平衡、港口水深和装卸时间为约束条件,求解一个包含船型组合、装/卸港航线组合、油种替换、批次拆分等多决策变量的大规模NP(Non-deterministic Polynomial)难问题.采用差分进化算法进行求解.为提高求解速度,采用双染色体编码、基因组压缩编码、船型与拼装变量隐式联锁、配送油种比对解码等方法,进行供需平衡约束,降低问题规模,并缩减问题的"劣质解空间",提高差分进化算法的搜索时效.利用提出的算法对中国石化某月度西非—中国航线实际原油远洋运输方案进行优化,得到优化方案平均用时约5 min,可节约运费50余万美元.     

随机微分方程的几种参数估计方法

提出3种基于离散观测数据的随机微分方程参数估计的方法。第1种方法应用于线性随机微分方程。推导出这类方程的真解的相关运算服从的分布,使观测数据的运算也服从此分布,由此来估计漂移系数与扩散系数中的未知参数。第2种方法用于Itô型随机微分方程。推导出Euler-Maruyama格式的数值解的相关运算服从的分布,使观测数据的运算服从此分布,由此来估计参数。第3种方法用于Stratonovich型随机微分方程。推导出中点格式的数值解的相关运算服从的分布,使观测数据的运算服从此分布,以此来估计参数。数值实验验证了这3种方法的有效性。数值实验显示,Euler-Maruyama格式参数估计的误差约为O（h^0.5）阶,中点格式参数估计的误差约为O（h）阶,其中h是数值方法的时间步长。我们提出的3种估计方法均比文献中已有的EM-MLE方法更精确。     

How does education have an impact on ethnocentrism? A structural equation analysis of cognitive,occupational status and network mechanisms

Previous studies have distinguished cognitive, occupational status and network mechanisms in the relation between education and ethnocentrism. Hypotheses on these mediating mechanisms are derived from socialization theory, realistic group threat and contact theory. In the current study we use structural equation modeling to investigate the explanatory power of these three mechanisms simultaneously. The analysis is based on a representative population survey from the Netherlands (NELLS 2009, n = 1910). The results show that more than half of the initial association between education and ethnocentrism can be attributed to cognitive ability and occupational status mechanisms. The remaining part of the overall association, however, still has to be modeled as a direct relationship between education and ethnocentrism. This direct association can be attributed either to social desirability or to a direct liberalizing effect of education on social and political attitudes. Our analysis tentatively suggests that the rise of average education levels in Western societies might lead to less ethnocentric attitudes via the cognitive sophistication mechanism.     

n元二次型特征方程的求法

给出了求n元二次型特征方程的一个重要定理,用代数方法解决了几何问题,并给出几个应用实例。     

二次不定方程3f2+3fg+g2=h2的正整数解

本文研究了二次不定方程3f^2＋3fg＋g^2=h^2给出了其所有正整数解公式.对于特例g=1和g=2利用Pell方程v2-3u2=1及不定方程3u^2-v^2=2的正整数解公式分别得到了原方程成为二元不定方程时的所有正整数解.