基于主题模型(LDA)的查新辅助分析系统设计研究

文章概述了主题概率模型（LDA）的计算原理和方法,以及开源R语言中lda程序包采用快速压缩吉普抽样算法分析语料库的处理流程。设计了基于LDA模型的查新辅助分析系统设计功能框架,对其功能、编程实现思路和工作流程做了描述。最后结合课题查新实例,详述了采用LDA模型通过相关文献关键词进行潜在主题挖掘,对比分析课题研究内容,对课题给出客观评价的过程。结果表明,基于主题模型的查新辅助分析系统可以快速有效挖掘相关文献主题,降低查新员对相关文献的分析难度,提高课题评价的客观性,整体辅助分析效果良好。     

基于潜在语义分析和改进的HS-SVM的文本分类模型研究

为提高文本分类的准确性与效率,提出一种基于潜在语义分析和改进的超球支持向量机的文本分类模型。该模型利用潜在语义分析进行特征抽取,消除同义词和多义词在文本表示时所造成的偏差,实现文本向量的降维。针对超球重叠区域的文本分类问题,设计一种新的决策方法-基于密集度的决策策略。实验结果表明,该模型在类别数目较小时具有较好的分类效果,改进的算法有效可行。     

运用表观热惯量遥感地表蒸散——以河北省易县崇陵流域为例

现有遥感地表蒸散的方法是基于地表热量平衡方程,先求出地表净辐射通量、土壤热通量和显热通量,再用余项法求出潜热通量。地表净辐射通量和显热通量的计算需空气温度、风速和地表粗糙度等非遥感参数,并且涉及到空间插值问题,由此增加了估算的复杂性并降低了估算的精度。引入反映地物固有热特性的物理参数一表现热惯量,结合地表辐射温度,充分利用遥感较易获取的这两个参数来估算地表蒸散,可弥补上述不足。利用河北省易县崇陵流域卫星过境同步观测的地面资料,以2007年5月28日过境的LANDSAT／TM作为数据源,尝试利用表现热惯量来遥感地表蒸散的新途径。首先根据像元表现热惯量和地表辐射温度等遥感参数反演出像元的大气下行辐射,进而估算出地表净辐射通量;其次,利用表现热惯量估算出波文比,再根据波文比时地表净辐射通量进行切割,然后代入地表热量平衡方程中,直接估算出地表潜热通量;最后,计算出崇陵流域日地表蒸散量,并获取其空间分布图。这种方法避开了估算显热通量的中闻环节,可操作性更强。     

Detecting Mixtures From Structural Model Differences Using Latent Variable Mixture Modeling: A Comparison of Relative Model Fit Statistics

The accuracy of structural model parameter estimates in latent variable mixture modeling was explored with a 3 (sample size) × 3 (exogenous latent mean difference) × 3 (endogenous latent mean difference) × 3 (correlation between factors) × 3 (mixture proportions) factorial design. In addition, the efficacy of several likelihood-based statistics (Akaike's Information Criterion [AIC], Bayesian Information Ctriterion [BIC], the sample-size adjusted BIC [ssBIC], the consistent AIC [CAIC], the Vuong-Lo-Mendell-Rubin adjusted likelihood ratio test [aVLMR]), classification-based statistics (CLC [classification likelihood information criterion], ICL-BIC [integrated classification likelihood], normalized entropy criterion [NEC], entropy), and distributional statistics (multivariate skew and kurtosis test) were examined to determine which statistics best recover the correct number of components. Results indicate that the structural parameters were recovered, but the model fit statistics were not exceedingly accurate. The ssBIC statistic was the most accurate statistic, and the CLC, ICL-BIC, and aVLMR showed limited utility. However, none of these statistics were accurate for small samples (n = 500).     

A metric measure for direct comparison of competing models in covariance structure analysis

Comparing the fit of alternative models has become a standard procedure for analyzing covariance structure analysis. Comparison of alternative models is typically accomplished by examining the fit of each model to sample data. It is argued that rather than using this indirect approach, one should do direct comparisons of the similarities and differences among competing models. It is shown that among the existing good‐ness‐of‐fit indexes, the root mean square residual (RMSR) is the only one that can be used for this purpose. However, the RMSR fails to satisfy some important statistical desiderata. Rao's Distance (RD), an alternate measure, is shown to overcome this limitation of RMSR. The preference for RD over RMSR for model comparisons is illustrated through a detailed analysis of a particular sample of multitrait‐multimethod data. A simulation study conducted to empirically investigate the sampling behavior of RD reveals that the true orderings of intermodel proximities are recovered (on average) with a fair degree of accuracy.     

First- Versus Second-Order Latent Growth Curve Models: Some Insights From Latent State-Trait Theory

First-order latent growth curve models (FGMs) estimate change based on a single observed variable and are widely used in longitudinal research. Despite significant advantages, second-order latent growth curve models (SGMs), which use multiple indicators, are rarely used in practice, and not all aspects of these models are widely understood. In this article, our goal is to contribute to a better understanding of theoretical and practical differences between FGMs and SGMs. We define the latent variables in FGMs and SGMs explicitly on the basis of latent state–trait (LST) theory and discuss insights that arise from this approach. We show that FGMs imply a strict trait-like conception of the construct under study, whereas SGMs allow for both trait and state components. Based on a simulation study and empirical applications to the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (Radloff, 1977 Radloff, L. S. 1977. The CES–D Scale: A self-report depression scale for research in the general population. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1: 385–401. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) we illustrate that, as an important practical consequence, FGMs yield biased reliability estimates whenever constructs contain state components, whereas reliability estimates based on SGMs were found to be accurate. Implications of the state–trait distinction for the measurement of change via latent growth curve models are discussed.     

An SEM Approach for the Evaluation of Intervention Effects Using Pre-Post-Post Designs

A directly applicable latent variable modeling procedure for classical item analysis is outlined. The method allows one to point and interval estimate item difficulty, item correlations, and item-total correlations for composites consisting of categorical items. The approach is readily employed in empirical research and as a by-product permits examining the latent structure of tentative versions of multiple-component measuring instruments. The discussed procedure is straightforwardly utilized with the increasingly popular latent variable modeling software Mplus, and is illustrated on a numerical example.     

Exploratory Structural Equation Modeling

This article examines the problem of specification error in 2 models for categorical latent variables; the latent class model and the latent Markov model. Specification error in the latent class model focuses on the impact of incorrectly specifying the number of latent classes of the categorical latent variable on measures of model adequacy as well as sample reallocation to latent classes. The results show that the clarity of remaining latent classes, as measured by the entropy statistic depends on the number of observations in the omitted latent class—but this statistic is not reliable. Specification error in the latent Markov model focuses on the transition probabilities when a longitudinal Guttman process is incorrectly specified. The findings show that specifying a longitudinal Guttman process that is not true in the population impacts other transition probabilities through the covariance matrix of the logit parameters used to calculate those probabilities.     

Latent Curve Models and Latent Change Score Models Estimated in R

When using multiple imputation in the analysis of incomplete data, a prominent guideline suggests that more than 10 imputed data values are seldom needed. This article calls into question the optimism of this guideline and illustrates that important quantities (e.g., p values, confidence interval half-widths, and estimated fractions of missing information) suffer from substantial imprecision with a small number of imputations. Substantively, a researcher can draw categorically different conclusions about null hypothesis rejection, estimation precision, and missing information in distinct multiple imputation runs for the same data and analysis with few imputations. This article explores the factors associated with this imprecision, demonstrates that precision improves by increasing the number of imputations, and provides practical guidelines for choosing a reasonable number of imputations to reduce imprecision for each of these quantities.     

Measurement Invariance Across Groups in Latent Growth Modeling

This Monte Carlo study investigated the impacts of measurement noninvariance across groups on major parameter estimates in latent growth modeling when researchers test group differences in initial status and latent growth. The average initial status and latent growth and the group effects on initial status and latent growth were investigated in terms of Type I error and bias. The location and magnitude of noninvariance across groups was related to the location and magnitude of bias and Type I error in the parameter estimates. That is, noninvariance in factor loadings and intercepts was associated with the Type I error inflation and bias in the parameter estimates of the slope factor (or latent growth) and the intercept factor (or initial status), respectively. As noninvariance became large, the degree of Type I error and bias also increased. On the other hand, a correctly specified second-order latent growth model yielded unbiased parameter estimates and correct statistical inferences. Other findings and implications on future studies were discussed.