Matter Bounce宇宙模型研究

通过描述宇宙学的发展历史和现状,指出大爆炸理论和暴涨理论虽然有许多优点,可以解释许多现象,但它们并不是完美无缺,无懈可击,仍然有一些无法解释的问题。而matter bounce宇宙模型是一个可以取代前两种理论的模型,可以得到与宇宙观测相吻合的结论,因此研究这个模型是非常有意义的。     

突变背后的集体无意识——《遗赠》与《安德烈的晚上》比较

以突变为切入点比较、分析弗吉尼亚·伍尔夫的短篇小说《遗赠》和铁凝的短篇小说《安德烈的晚上》会发现人格面具和阴影的交战给主人公带来的内心冲突,而正是由于集体无意识的存在决定了克兰顿夫人毅然赴死的悲剧和安德烈约会无门的无奈。无论是对生活戏剧化的揭示还是灰色写实,两位女作家都用不同的叙述手法反映了人类生存的窘境与精神制约。     

拖延现象的深度心理分析

拖延是日常生活中非常普遍的心理现象,也造成越来越多人的困扰。文章从全新的角度——以荣格的分析心理学为基础,结合临床个案研究结果,着重从消极拖延入手,归纳其一般表现,并尝试揭示其深层无意识原因,以期能为拖延理论研究和治疗提供借鉴。     

中国通货膨胀情况探讨

通货膨胀现象是一个复杂的系统工程问题,需要从不同的角度分析通货膨胀的现状,通货膨胀发生的原因,通货膨胀的演变过程,找出面对通货膨胀应该采取的对策。     

Europe Versus Emerging Countries Within FIFA: Using Inflation as a Conflict Regulation Mechanism

Abstract

As is the case within many international organizations, Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) is beset by internal tensions between the North, those nations which have historically held most power, and the South, mainly African and Asian countries, which look forward to a more balanced functioning. The numerous conflicts which arise in the governing body of association football usually takes the form of an opposition between regional confederations. The purpose of this article is to show that the regulation of these disputes may be considered as inflationist. The technique of playing on nominal factors such as the number of places in the executive committee or the number of countries participating the world cup can lead to concessions on real power sharing. This tactic is therefore used in FIFA when feasible.     

Persona Design: Representativeness and Empathy through Cultural Integration

Persona design aims to increase students’ ability to understand their target users and address their needs. Yet, there is a lack of conceptual frameworks that help students systematically conceptualise user needs, specifically the two key requirements of persona design: representativeness and empathy. In this study, we find an alternative method using cultural dimensions to ensure that students conceptualise personas by reflecting representativeness and empathy in a systematic way. We justify cultural dimensions and engagement aspects and suggest a classified table for representative and empathetic persona design. In a design course, we analyse personas created by students in two different groups with the table (Group 1, n = 16) and without the table (Group 2, n = 17) through comparative thematic analysis to evaluate the qualities of representativeness and empathy. As a result, the cognitive aspect of engagement is predominated in Group 2, whereas the cognitive, emotional, behavioural, and social aspects of engagement are evenly distributed in Group 1. 11 cultural dimensions are identified in Group 2, whereas 20 cultural dimensions are identified in Group 1. In Group 2, a particular dimension is predominant (44.4% of individualism), whereas, in Group 1, the rate of the most used dimension is 12.2% (femininity and collectivism). The study results indicate that the method allows students to diversify and deepen their understanding of user needs and thereby conceptualising personas in in-depth and analytical ways. From instructional perspectives, it can be used by educators to help students systematically conceptualise user needs in design activities.     

基于国内大宗商品价格的中国金融形势指数构建研究

为了检验国内大宗商品价格对我国金融形势指数（FCI）预测未来通胀能力的影响,并进而探索中国金融形势指数的构建问题,文章选取了2007年1月～2013年12月的相关数据,通过VAR广义脉冲响应的方法构建了3类不同结构的FCI,并运用多种方法实证检验了各类FCI对我国未来通胀趋势的预测能力.结果表明：3类FCI均可作为我国通胀的先行指标,包含未来通胀水平变化的有效信息,可预测未来6-8个月内的短期通胀趋势;采用综合一国货币供应量、利率、汇率、股价、房价、大宗商品价格等变量的FCI比现行两类FCI的预测效果更好一些.     

2000-2011年我国通货膨胀推动因素的实证分析

近年来,如何防范和治理通货膨胀已成为中国宏观经济领域亟需解决的一项重大课题,而治理通胀的关键在于对其形成原因的科学把握。本文选取CPI和PPI作为通货膨胀的衡量指标,以产出缺口、货币供应量、国际大宗商品价格、超额工资水平、资产价格、汇率水平六大因素作为解释变量,运用向量自回归(VAR)、脉冲响应和方差分解的方法,对2000-2011年中国通货膨胀的形成原因进行实证分析,得到了各项因素的作用大小、作用时滞和传导链条的顺序,最后提出了相应的政策建议。     

中国CPI通胀短期波动与长期均衡分时协整检验

近期CPI价格较快上涨触动社会居民对通货膨胀风险的心理防线,防止价格水平上涨成为今后宏观经济政策的重要任务。运用分时协整方法探讨CPI通胀短期波动与长期均衡的路径特征,可发现1990年以来CPI滞后项对通货膨胀影响趋于显著,通货膨胀惯性增强。市场主体在通货紧缩时期的预期方式是前瞻性预期强于后向预期,通货膨胀时期预期以后向为主。财政支出在通货膨胀时期抑制价格上涨,在通货紧缩期间有助于扭转CPI下降。农产品期货价格与股票价格指数对CPI通胀的正向影响渐趋清晰,房地产价格上涨产生抑制CPI通胀的转移效应。通货膨胀率上涨期间总贷款、净出口和通货膨胀惯性是主要推动因素,不过加入包括农产品期货价格、房地产价格、股票价格指数和工业品出厂价格的方程对CPI波动解释力更强,供给冲击成为近期彰显的通货膨胀因素。通货膨胀新的特征警示货币信贷管理需要创新政策工具并采取更多前瞻性措施。     

The Scholar as Teacher and Philosopher

This investigation documents an intervention that successfully counteracted a grade inflation trend at a small, Catholic, liberal arts university in the eastern United States. The intervention produced a significant drop in grades awarded by full-time faculty, but not by adjunct faculty who were not yet included in the intervention. Institutional factors affecting grade inflation (i.e., class size, course level, academic discipline, day and semester of delivery) were also analyzed before and after the intervention.