高技术企业创业团队风险成因及防范

在高科技创业团队概念和特征的基础上,分析了由于人员组成结构、目标不一致、权力纷争、对外部风险的心理承受能力等因素可能会引发使得高技术企业创业团队过早“夭折”的风险。并针对这些原因提出了相应的对策。     

北京市个人住房消费信贷风险成因及对策研究

对北京市个人住房消费信贷风险成因进行了详细分析,借鉴国内外先进的风险管理理论和技巧,探索和研究如何将风险管理策略引入北京市个人住房消费信贷业务,从银行内外四个方面建立起适合北京市的个人住房消费信贷风险防范体系。     

Bayesian reasoning in avalanche terrain: a theoretical investigation

In this article, I explore a Bayesian approach to avalanche decision-making. I motivate this perspective by highlighting a version of the base-rate fallacy and show that a similar pattern applies to decision-making in avalanche-terrain. I then draw out three theoretical lessons from adopting a Bayesian approach and discuss these lessons critically. Lastly, I highlight a number of challenges for avalanche educators when incorporating the Bayesian perspective in their curriculum.     

Comparing cumulative index and factor analytic approaches to measuring maltreatment in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health

Child maltreatment is a complex and multifaceted construct in need of advanced statistical techniques to improve its measurement. The current study compared the predictive utility of a cumulative index to a factor analytic approach for constructing a measure of maltreatment. Data were from Waves III and IV of the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Wave III: n = 14,800; Wave IV: n = 12,288). As adults, participants retrospectively reported on their childhood experiences of physical abuse, sexual abuse, emotional abuse, physical neglect, supervisory neglect, and social services investigations. Both the cumulative index and a two-factor solution showed evidence of convergent validity, predicting lifetime incidence of homelessness, being paid for sex, and various measures of running away or living apart from biological parents, and prospectively predicting depression, substance use, and criminal behavior. The latent variables, derived from a factor analytic approach, had greater explanatory power for many outcomes compared to the cumulative index, even when controlling for sociodemographic variables. Results suggest that factor analysis is a better methodology than a cumulative index for measuring maltreatment in large datasets when explanatory power for external outcomes is of greatest concern.     

Acute cardiovascular responses to interval exercise: A systematic review and meta-analysis

ABSTRACT

Interval exercise training is increasingly recommended to improve health and fitness; however, it is not known if cardiovascular risk is different from continuous exercise protocols. This systematic review with meta-analyses assessed the effect of a single bout of interval exercise on cardiovascular responses that indicate risk of cardiac fibrillation and infarction compared to continuous exercise. Electronic databases Medline, CINAHL, Embase, Scopus and Cochrane were searched. Key inclusion criteria were: (1) intervals of the same intensity and duration followed by a recovery period and (2) reporting at least one of blood pressure, heart rate variability, arterial stiffness or function. Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and GRADE approach were used. Meta-analyses found that systolic blood pressure responses to interval exercise did not differ from responses to continuous exercise immediately (MD 8 mmHg [95% CI ?32, 47], p = 0.71) or at 60 min following exercise (MD 0 mmHg [95% CI ?2, 1], p = 0.79). However, reductions in diastolic blood pressure and flow-mediated dilation with interval exercise were observed 10–15 min post-exercise. The available evidence indicates that interval exercise does not convey higher cardiovascular risk than continuous exercise. Further investigation is required to establish the safety of interval exercise for clinical populations.     

体育侵权案中如何适用自甘风险规则——以侵权责任法为视角

分析认为,尽管即将实施的侵权责任法,其自甘风险规则规定非常明确,但是,司法实践中要注意区分受害人同意规则和共同过失规则,要把握自甘风险规则的民事责任构成的特点和免责与损失分担的区别,制度设计上采取抗辩说比过错说更符合法律哲学.     

浙江省游泳培训场所潜在的风险与防范对策研究

从社会学的视角重点调查和分析了我省游泳场馆游泳培训的现状、存在的主要问题及其原因,在总结梳理我省游泳场馆游泳培训成功经验的基础上,结合我省和谐社会的构建和平安校园的推进,以及游泳事业发展的需要,通过系统分析,探讨我省游泳场馆游泳培训的安全模式,杜绝游泳培训场所溺水事故的发生.     

西安市户外运动参与者风险意识调查与分析

为提高西安市户外运动参与者的风险意识,推动西安市户外运动的更好发展。通过文献资料、问卷调查等研究方法,对西安市户外运动参与者的风险意识情况进行调查与分析。研究结果显示:西安市户外运动参与者风险意识认识情况良好,能够很好的控制和预防风险,但还存在着户外运动风险意识宣传和安全培训力度不够,西安市部分户外运动组织者无户外领队资格证,西安市部分户外运动爱好者没有购买保险的意向的问题。     

大型体育赛事风险评估指标研究现状

对大型体育赛事的概念、组织、风险的定义进行概述,综述大型体育赛事风险评估指标的研究现状,并列举了实例.     

中国体育产业化金融支持的基本途径

针对中国体育产业与发达国家所存在的差距,提出加紧构建中国体育产业金融支持体系建设刻不容缓。中国体育产业化金融支持的基本途径是:设立国家政策性体育金融机构,建立中国体育产业投资基金,启动体育资本市场,加大体育风险投资力度,开发体育保险新兴市场和扩大体育博彩业规模。