An Analytic Strategy to Assist Institutional Recruitment and Marketing Efforts

This article demonstrates how to fit a statistical model to historical data, test whether the model can accurately predict enrollment out-of-sample, and use the results to segment admitted students into groups so that different recruitment and marketing interventions can be applied. Conceptual and practical issues are discussed, as well as policy considerations.     

BP神经网络的改进及其在股票预测中的应用

研究了BP神经网络,对BP算法的权值初始化进行改进,使得其收敛速度更快,并建立了基于BP神经网络的股价预测模型．最后以深发展A的收盘价为例,分析改进后NBP神经网络模型的预测效果．     

基于不确定阻滞增长模型的奥运会撑杆跳高最佳成绩感知拟合预测

针对前25届奥运会撑竿撑杆跳高的最佳成绩存在迭代数据统计缺陷,设计了一种基于不确定阻滞增长模型的奥运会撑杆跳高最佳成绩感知拟合预测模型.基于此,在中国北京奥运会撑杆跳高感知拟合预测的结果显示,运用不确定阻滞增长模型在撑杆跳高最佳成绩感知拟合预测比常微分方程模型统计撑杆跳高项目感知结构分析的优越性.     

基于自适应预测算法的APF无差拍控制方法

有源电力滤波器（active power filter, APF）补偿电流跟踪控制要求具有较高的稳态精度和较快的动态响应速度。文章将自适应预测滤波算法应用于无差拍控制,实现APF补偿电流精确控制。根据APF时域数学模型,推导滤波系统的无差拍控制离散方程;通过自适应(finite impulse response filter, FIR)预测滤波算法实现基波电流预测,消除控制系统的计算延迟,给无差拍控制提供所需的指令电流预测值。对预测算法进行MATLAB仿真,验证预测算法的稳态精度和动态跟踪快速性;实验室样机验证控制实验结果证明所提出的控制策略有效的,具有一定的实用性。     

Combinatorial model involving mixed deterministic freight volume distribution and user’s equilibrium assignment

Considering characteristics of Chinese urban mixed traffic, the author develops a combinatorial model involving the mixed deterministic traffic volume distribution and user’s equilibrium (UE) assignment on the basis of symmetrical link travel time function (or deterrence). Its uniqueness and equivalance to the Wardropian principle of UE are also proved. Finally, we give the algorithm of model. Project supported by the Youth Scientific Foundation of Shanghai Municipal Commission of Education (97QG18)     

回归分析与学生进步程度的评价

本文讨论一元回归分析方法在成绩评价中的应用.给出了学生进步程度的定义、成绩预测和综合成绩评价的公式,将自变量取值中心化后简化了学生进步程度的计算公式.     

基于灰色模型的建筑物沉降预测方法

针对灰色模型在建筑物沉降预测中存在的不足,对传统的灰色模型进行改进,提出利用时间差法和Newton插值法将非等间距的原始数据序列转换为等间距数据序列,然后采用GM（1,1）模型和两种加权法对等间距数据进行建模的预测方法。并通过实例进行精度分析,实例证明利用Newton插值法构造等间距数据,采用基于时间加权的模型对沉降进行预测具有较高的精度。采用该模型对建筑物沉降趋势进行预测,为施工决策起到良好的参考作用。     

基于组件GIS的矿区沉陷灾害预测预报系统的开发

本文针对矿区开采沉陷,利用组件GIS,MapX开发了矿区沉陷灾害的预测预报系统。组件式软件开发已经成为当今软件技术的潮流之一,基于组件式GIS开发技术近些年来广泛应用于GIS工程中。矿区沉陷灾害预测预报系统是GIS信息技术在煤矿生产中的应用。本文就矿区沉陷灾害预测预报系统(MSPS)的开发过程中对组件GIS的开发与集成进行探讨。结果表明:利用组件MapX开发本系统具有强大的GIS功能,开发简捷、周期短、开发费用低。     

北魏“手铸金人”制试探

＂手铸金人＂是北魏王朝对国家大事进行预测的一种方式,皇帝将铸金人的成败视为事件吉凶的预兆。最初该方式只用于对皇后选立的预测,北魏后期,这项制度走出了后宫,成为鲜卑贵族对皇位继承进行预测的一种重要方式。     

Investigation of blood pulse PPG signal regulation on toe effect of body posture and lower limb height

Objective: To study the regulation of blood pulse volume via photoplethysmography (PPG) signal detected from toe, while the lower limb is passively raised in different height positions. Methods: Use a modified non-invasive PPG technique to detect the blood pulse signal on toe with infrared (IR) photo sensor. A protocol consisting of two postures, i.e., supine and 45° reclining, was designed to conduct laboratory trial in this study. During the period of performing the protocol of these postures, the lower limb was passively raised from the heights of 10 cm to 60 cm randomly and individually with sponge blocks underneath the foot. Results: In the supine posture, the higher the foot was passively raised, the more the blood PPG signal decreased. In the 45° reclining posture, the blood PPG signal increased at the beginning and then decreased in the foot height position from 10 cm to 60 cm. In both postures the normalized AC signal changes significantly while the normalized DC signal changes little. Conclusion: The toe PPG signals can obviously indicate the regulated blood volume change with the designated postural procedures due to the heart level position.