基于多模态眼动识别的乒乓球运动员动作预测

眼动的速度最高可达到600°/s,具有比人手更灵敏的反应,因此有更好的实时性和应激性,通过眼动识别可以准确反映人体的动作特征,实现动作的判断和预测。采用眼动识别的图像处理算法实现对乒乓球运动员的动作预测,提高攻球效能,改进乒乓球攻击和防御的目的性。传统方法中对乒乓球运动员的眼动识别算法采用边缘特征融合算法,对运动员的动作变换跟踪性能不好,提出一种基于多模态融合眼动识别的乒乓球运动员动作预测算法。提取边缘特征,进行虹膜定位设计,统计搜索区域灰度直方图分布,建立虹膜颜色与边缘联合特征模板,通过多模态融合眼动时变分析,采用从粗到细的处理方法,在减少匹配对应项的同时进行动作预测相关系数匹配,预测跟踪目标中心,实现动作预测,仿真结果表明,算法对运动员的动作预测准确度高,实现对乒乓球运动员动作的实时跟踪和识别。     

基于鱼群信息链特征优选的域间流量监测

对内容中心网络的域间流量监测是未来互联网架构和网络安全监护的重要内容,通过域间流量监测,防止网络拥堵和不稳,提供网络性能,同时缩减网络冗余流量。传统方法中,对域间流量的预测采用双谱分析的方法进行特征提取,实现对局域网流量的预测,算法受到短时缓冲流量的非线性特征的影响,性能不好。提出一种基于鱼群信息链特征优选的域间流量预测算法,进行网络流量信号模型分析,构建流量监护数据样本驱动空间,进行鱼群信息链特征优选系统模型与数据预处理,得到域间流量为一阶空间权矩阵,域间网络流量信息数据表示为一个方阵,实现基于鱼群信息链特征优选的域间流量预测算法的改进。实验得出,采用该算法,在较低的信噪比下,仍然具有较高的预测精度,域间流量估计误差较低,性能较优。     

基于CNKI的我国数字期刊研究状况分析

摘 要 【目的】揭示我国数字期刊研究的演进历程、研究水平和未来走向。【方法】 检索中国知网（CNKI）关于数字期刊的相关文献,运用文献计量学的方法进行统计与分析。【结果】年度发文量、作者、文献下载次数和被引频次、作者单位来源、文献来源期刊以及关键词出现频次等几个方面的数据,反映出当前我国数字期刊的研究日益深化,体现出理论与实践相结合的特点。【结论】构建合理的研究队伍,平衡出版流程研究的着力点,加强研究视角的广阔性和前瞻性才能更好地促进数字期刊的发展。     

学术交流需求变化环境下的科技期刊服务趋势及策略

【目的】从根本上理解与把握期刊服务的趋势与策略,为科技期刊争取更多生存与发展的机会。【方法】从科研用户学术交流需求变化的角度去观察和分析期刊服务。【结果】新的学术交流需求要求更便捷地传播和获取信息;要求提供知识服务。【结论】科技期刊服务需要与多种网络渠道和技术相融,需要转型成为面向知识生产过程和专业活动的服务机构。具体策略就是实现科技信息的高效传播,拓展面向知识生产和专业活动的服务功能。     

泸县节水农业发展潜力分析

水在农业发展中起重要作用,发展节水农业是缓解水资源供需矛盾、提高农业综合生产能力的重要途径。建设节水型农业,提高水的有效利用率,坚持节水灌溉、坚持节水农业的发展,不断改善和完善农业生产条件,将促进水资源可持续利用和社会经济可持续发展。本文获取泸县耕地面积、主要农作物种植面积、水资源利用及水利工程变化数据,主要农作物平均灌溉定额和节水灌溉定额数据,运用灰色预测法对泸县未来几年的主要农作物灌溉用水量进行预测,结果显示:2014-2017年水稻、玉米、小麦在采用节水技术后共计用水量分别为:14.2亿m3、11.08亿m3、0.46亿m3,共计节水量分别为:14.04亿m3、11.41亿m3、0.59亿m3。研究得出:应该大力发展节水农业.改进节水技术.提高水的利用率.节约水资源。     

Informing in-season tactical periodisation in team sport: development of a match difficulty index for Super Rugby

In team sports, tactical periodisation refers to the planned manipulation of training loads with the aim of prioritising athlete readiness for matches of greatest importance. Although monitoring of athletes’ physical condition is often used to inform this planning, the direct influence of external factors on match difficulty has not been well quantified. In this study, a ‘match difficulty index’ (MDI) for use in Super Rugby was developed, based on the influence imparted by five external factors on previous match outcomes. Specifically, information relating to match location, days break between matches, time-zone change and opposition ladder position (both current and previous year) were collected for matches played during the 2011–2013 Super Rugby seasons. Logistic regression analyses were used to assess the importance of each of these factors with respect to match outcome (win/loss), with opposition ladder position and match location (home, domestic away or international) exerting the greatest influence on match difficulty. Three separate cross-validated models were constructed, with match outcome classification performance reported as 66.2%, 65.5% and 63.7% respectively. The three MDI models emanating from this study can each be used to inform tactical periodisation program design both prior to and during the regular season.     

工程建筑物变形监测数据预测分析

在概述灰色Verhuslt模型基础上,对灰色Verhuslt模型在建筑物沉降监测中的应用做了详细介绍.结合工程实例中4#楼东南角S044点沉降数据建立灰色Verhuslt模型,实证结果表明模型精度可靠,实际沉降量观测值与沉降量预测值吻合较好,在沉降变形分析数据预测分析中应用灰色Verhuslt模型具有可行性.     

BP神经网络算法在教师履职考评中的应用研究

基于BP神经网络算法在分类预测方面的权威性,提出利用BP神经网络构建教师履职评价模型的新方法。实验结果表明,该模型具有较高的可行性和实用性,能够准确、高效地对教师履职情况进行客观评价。     

浅谈移动电子商务社交APP软件发展趋势

随着互联网和移动通信技术的迅速发展,移动电子商务正逐渐成为一种新的商业运作模式,并以其快捷方便、无所不在的特点,成为现代商务发展的新方向。本文从分析移动电子商务的应用优势入手,针对社交APP软件现状及发展前景进行研究。     

Characterization of chaotic multiscale features on the time series of melt index in industrial propylene polymerization system

The chaos characteristics of melt index have been first explored, and the Hilbert–Huang transform method and time delay embedding method are applied to multiscale dynamic analysis on the time series of the melt index (MI) in the propylene polymerization industry. The research results show that the embedding delay is 2, the embedding dimension is 5, the correlation dimension D₂ is 1.57, and the maximum Lyapunov exponent is 0.143 for the melt index series, which provide clear evidence of chaotic multiscale features in the propylene polymerization process. Three intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) are decomposed from the melt index time series; the presence of non-integer fractal correlation dimension and positive finite maximum Lyapunov exponent are found in some IMF components. The PP melt index series are divided into two chaotic signals, a determined signal and a random signal respectively, and its complexity is therefore reduced. Furthermore, the coupling of subscale structures of the propylene polymerization is explored with the dimension of interaction dynamics and a robust algorithm for detecting interdependence. It is found that IMF(2) is the main driver in the coupling system of IMF(1)and IMF(2). All these provide a guideline for studying propylene polymerization process with chaotic multiscale theory and may offer more candidate tools to model and control propylene polymerization system in the future.