2004年国际安全形势综述

2004年,国际恐怖主义依然猖獗,全球一些热点地区的危机继续升温,美国深陷伊拉克的战后乱局,俄罗斯大幅度改革国家权力机构,欧盟接纳了10个新成员并通过《欧盟宪法条约》,日本出台新防卫计划大纲,印度继续向军事大国迈进。     

基于GM(1,1)模型的恐怖活动发展趋势预测 ——以东南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲地区为例

[目的/意义]旨在为地区反恐工作提供参考.[方法/过程]以全球恐怖主义数据库(GTD)为基础,对2015—2019年全球恐怖主义发展趋势进行分析,并运用GM(1,1)模型对东南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲地区未来几年的恐怖活动态势进行预测分析.[结果/结论]反恐工作效果显著,预测未来几年东南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲地区的恐怖活动次数将...     

An Ethics of (not) Showing: Citizen Witnessing,Journalism and Visualizations of a Terror Attack

ABSTRACT

This paper explores how news organizations visualize crises in a digital media ecology shaped by citizen witnessing and widespread image circulation on social media. Empirically, the paper draws on the events of 7 April 2017 in Stockholm when a hijacked truck plowed into crowds, killing five and injuring several others. The study is informed by theoretical perspectives and research on citizen photojournalism and witnessing, and examines the function of visual citizen contributions, degrees of explicitness in visual coverage and the impact of proximity on visualizations of crises. Qualitative analyses of visual content and text in digital and print editions of four Swedish newspapers showed both enhancing and featured positioning of visual eyewitness contributions from the public, few examples of explicit imagery, and journalistic commentary foregrounding ethical dimensions of showing and seeing. Based on the findings, the author considers journalism’s civic response as a strategy for staking a claim to credibility and ethics at a moment when the journalistic gatekeeping position is called into question.     

国际反恐战:新闻媒体不是旁观者

“反恐战”新世纪,成为最重要的国际议题之一。恐怖主义与媒介的共生论认为媒体对于恐怖舆论难辞其咎。其实,媒体并不是导致恐怖主义的罪魁祸首。在某种意义上,恐怖主义是经过中介的暴力;而更重要的是,媒体同时又是发动反恐舆论战的载体。当今国际许多媒体在报道恐怖事件中杂有很多毒素,进行反恐舆论战需要去除这些毒素。我们有必要借鉴国际传媒的经验教训,更好地打好反恐舆论战。     

Prospective tourists’ risk perceptions and intentions to travel to a mega-sporting event host country with apparent risk

ABSTRACT

While the global appeal of the Olympic Games has attracted a massive amount of attention, this increased focus has resulted in heightened risk occurring around the event. Prospective tourists’ growing anxiety related to terrorism and political instability regarding a travel destination could have serious implications on tourism. This article aims to examine the relationship between tourists’ risk perceptions and their intention to travel to an Olympic host country with apparent risks of terrorism and political instability during and around the event period using the case of the 2018 PyeongChang Olympic Games. Terrorism risk was found to have a negative impact on travel intention while political instability did not. The results suggest that potential terrorism risk is a vulnerable point for the host country, and host organisations’ collaborative risk management strategies for minimising potential threats and generating a safe destination image are necessary to attract a higher number of visitors around and during the Olympics. This study contributes to the sport and event tourism literatures by focusing on a specific case. As a result, the findings enable the authors to highlight the impact of terrorism and political instability on travel intentions of prospective tourists to a host country with apparent risks. More specifically, this research discusses the reason(s) for the impact of terrorism and political instability risks on the travel intentions, and calls upon the efforts of future Olympics and mega-sporting event host countries to mitigate the loss of international visitors and to boost global tourism during and after the event.     

《制止核恐怖主义行为国际公约》与核不扩散机制

联合国、国际原子能机构以及一系列的国际公约构成了国际核不扩散机制,但它们主要是从国家行为体的层面对核扩散问题作出了约束性的规定。2007年7月生效的《制止核恐怖主义行为国际公约》,填补了现有核不扩散机制针对非国家行为体的空白,为各国预防和惩治核恐怖犯罪提供了法律依据。但该公约所面临的主要问题仍是各国协调合作与执行。     

新疆暴恐犯罪防控研究

近年来,新疆地区的暴力恐怖犯罪愈演愈烈,对我国经济和社会建设造成了巨大危害。要有效防控暴恐犯罪,必须标本兼治、双管齐下。"治标",即对当前猖獗的暴恐犯罪必须从严惩治,遏制其蔓延势头;"治本",乃是要从犯罪学视角找寻犯罪根源,从而对症下药,消除暴恐犯罪的诱因与条件。     

Mental Health Consequences of September 11: A Five-Year Review of the Behavioral Sciences Literature

ABSTRACT

This publication provides an overview of studies conducted on different segments of the population and the psychological reactions of respondents to the devastating events of September 11, 2001. This investigation stems out of an intellectual curiosity to learn about the psychological impact of this tragedy in general, and to retrieve studies conducted on families who lost loved ones in particular. To this end, a comprehensive review of the medical and psychological literature was conducted in order to retrieve original research reported in peer-reviewed journal articles published between October 2001 and December 2006. Findings suggest that the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks contributed to widespread and sometimes continued psychological and emotional problems.     

论兼听权

兼听权是一项古老的动物性权利 ,因其太古老而不易被伤害 ,因其不易被伤害而被忽视。广播媒介产生以后 ,加之东西意识形态的对立 ,国际传播领域形成一座座信息围城 ;围城内公众的兼听权遭遇到从未有过的侵害。近年全球范围的恐怖主义泛滥与兼听权的丧失息息相关。兼听权到了写进世界人权委员会文件中的时候了     

对不准原理与动车困境：人类已经丧失纠正重大错误的能力

本文提出＂目标对不准原理＂、＂纠错纠不准原理＂和＂动车困境＂,发现目前社会已经形成了＂恐怖实现系统＂,并以此论证了目前人类已经丧失了纠正重大错误的能力,人类已经开始进入危变社会和危变时代,指出致毁知识的不可逆增长、积累和扩散及其与＂恐怖实现系统＂的结合是当今世界面临的最大危机和挑战,实现从＂产销优先＂向＂安全优先＂、＂解危优先＂的转型是当务之急。