江苏省老年人体质测试评价体系研究

采用特尔斐法,以相关评价原则为准绳,进行了多轮专家调查,经统计筛选,得出江苏省老年人体质测试的各类指标的评价权重,即形态：素质：机能分别为１：４：５。并针对此权重分布提出了评估江苏省老年人体质状况的运算公式。     

上证综合指数的统计分析与预测

对上证综合指数进行了时间序列分解的实证研究,并在此基础上建立ARIMA模型对其进行拟合预测,取得了一定的效果     

基于RITE测度的降维方法研究

在RITE的框架下,考察了社会信息化指标体系中不同指标的增长特征及其在测算中的表现,提出了一种基于RITE测度的降维方法——指标增长特征降维法的实现思路。文章结合案例,通过指标抽取试验,对所提出的方法进行了实证研究。     

商业银行构建信贷风险预警指标体系的探讨

信贷风险预警是银行管理信贷风险的重要手段之一,加强对信贷风险预警技术研究有重要的现实意义。本文在现有研究基础上,运用AHP法进一步完善信贷风险预警分类指标体系,计算出预警指标体系各因素权重以及综合预警指数,从而得到信贷风险等级及预警状态,为银行进行有效信贷风险管理提供更为科学的决策支持。     

The effect of acute aerobic exercise on central arterial stiffness,wave reflections,and hemodynamics in adults with diabetes: A randomized cross-over design

BackgroundIndividuals with diabetes have greater central arterial stiffness, wave reflections, and hemodynamics, all of which promote the accelerated cardiovascular pathology seen in this population. Acute aerobic exercise has been shown to be an effective strategy for reducing central arterial stiffness, wave reflections, and hemodynamics in healthy individuals; however, the effects of acute aerobic exercise in reducing these outcomes is not well established in people with diabetes. Recently, implementation of high-intensity interval exercise (HIIE) has shown superior improvements in cardiovascular health outcomes when compared to traditional aerobic exercise. Yet, the effect of HIIE on the aforementioned outcomes in people with diabetes is not known. The purpose of this study was to (i) describe the central arterial stiffness, wave reflections, and hemodynamic responses to a bout of HIIE and moderate-intensity continuous exercise (MICE) in adults with diabetes; and (ii) compare the effects of HIIE and MICE on the aforementioned outcomes.MethodsA total of 24 adult men and women (aged 29–59 years old) with type 1 (n = 12) and type 2 (n = 12) diabetes participated in a randomized cross-over study. All participants completed the following protocols: (i) HIIE: cycling for 4 × 4 min at 85%–95% of heart rate peak (HR_peak), interspersed with 3 min of active recovery at 60%–70%HR_peak; (ii) MICE: 33 min of continuous cycling at 60%–70%HR_peak; and (iii) control (CON): lying quietly in a supine position for 30 min.ResultsA significant group × time effect was found for changes in central systolic blood pressure (F = 3.20, p = 0.01) with a transient reduction for the HIIE group but not for the MICE or CON groups. There was a significant group × time effect for changes in augmentation index at a heart rate of 75 beats/min (F = 2.32, p = 0.04) with a decrease following for HIIE and MICE but not for CON. For all other measures of central arterial stiffness and hemodynamics, no significant changes were observed (p > 0.05).ConclusionA bout of HIIE appears to lead to a greater transient reduction in central systolic blood pressure than the reduction observed following MICE; however, both HIIE and MICE improved augmentation index at a heart rate of 75 beats/min in people with diabetes. There was no significant difference in response to HIIE and MICE in all outcomes. This provides preliminary evidence on the role of HIIE on such outcomes in people with diabetes.     

基于基尼系数的流域水环境污染物总量分配研究

本文从经济、社会和环境系统整体效益出发将应用在经济学领域的基尼系数应用于总量控制分配当中,分别以人口、土地面积、GDP、环境排污现状和用水量作为控制指标,建立了一种定性与定量相结合描述流域各区域间水污染物排放总量分配的层次结构优化模型,并将该模型应用于某流域,结果表明,本文提出的分配方法,克服了等比例分配的不公平性,同时又兼顾了各分区间的实际差异,是一种较好的分配方法。     

湖北旅游业的发展现状及对策

旅游业作为一个朝阳产业,对经济的发展起着促进作用。依据甘巧林教授的旅游业评价指标体系对湖北旅游业的发展状况进行了评价,在此基础上与国内旅游大省进行了对比分析,探讨了湖北旅游业发展面临的机遇与存在的问题,提出了若干对策建议。     

2012—2017年山西省高等职业院校图书馆阅读推广动态评价研究

本文在对山西省高等职业院校图书馆阅读推广活动开展情况长期调研分析的基础上,提出了一个包含四个层次的阅读推广活动总体评价结构,并分别给出了各个层次评价的指标体系,在此基础上构建了山西省高等职业院校图书馆阅读推广活动整体评价的云模型,以此为某段时期、某区域、某单位阅读推广活动评价提供参考,进而提高阅读推广的整体水平。     

教师课堂教学质量的综合评价

传统的课堂教学评价方法不能公正、合理地去评价教师的教学水平和课堂教学质量，存在较多弊端。为了弥补传统教学评价的不足，改善测评效果，拟建立科学、合理的课堂教学质量考核指标体系，确定规范的考核标准，运用模糊综合评价模型对课堂教学质量进行评价。     

一位院士的情怀对科技期刊编辑的启示——阅读《大家博友》《大师小文》的感悟

针对学术期刊数字化程度与影响力提升的效应问题,重点对江苏省17种中文地学类期刊的网络化建设及应用程度做了调研和量化分析,并将其数据与统计期刊近5年的影响因子和被引频次做了分析比较.结果显示,被统计期刊学术影响力指标的上升趋势,与评价期刊数字化应用程度高低的得分值有很好的对应关系.进一步分析结果表明,代表期刊数字化程度较高的微信运用,有可能对提升科技期刊学术影响力起到意想不到的推动作用.