销售量预测模型及其应用

运用回归分析方法建立的某类销售量预测模型,对季节变化关联较强的商品的销售量有较高的预测精确度。     

Real time exploration and management of large medical volumetric datasets on small mobile devices—Evaluation of remote volume rendering approach

In this paper I present the architecture of system that can be used for real time exploration and management of large medical volumetric datasets. The new state of the art solution presented in this paper is an example of visual data management system. System prototype evaluation proved that it is possible to use low-powered (and cheap) up-to-date mobile devices with programmable GPUs as the remote interfaces for exploration of large volumetric medical data. The implementation was done with high-level programming language that enables portability between different hardware models. The lack of lossy compression enables to display high quality medical images visualizations without any simplifications and noises in frequency domain. The prototype of system is capable to remotely render and send to a client (for example cell phone or tablet) rendered data with frequency 30 fps with limited resolution during interaction. One second after the interaction is finished client machine receives full resolution image. The evaluation of the system was performed on volumetric computed tomography angiography image with approximate size 512³ voxels.     

基于ARIMA模型的体育彩票销量预测——以上海为例

对未来体彩销量预测分析,可以为体彩产品设计、营销推广提供科学依据。本文以上海为例,采用ARIMA模型对2009年1月-2013年3月的上海体育彩票的月度销售数据进行时间序列分析,并预测出2013-2015三年上海体育彩票的销量,从而对上海体育彩票的销量增长趋势进行分析。     

谈周朴园权势意识的凸现

《雷雨》是现代文学的经典之作,它含蓄的语言和丰富的潜台词是文坛上永不褪色的华彩。以周朴园的语言为分析对象,从语量和语势两角度,探析周朴园的权势意识的凸现手段,体会曹禺的语言艺术魅力。     

基于市场细分的顾客价值分析

顾客价值分析是顾客价值创新的核心基础,基于市场细分思想改进了已有的顾客价值分析模型,将研究分为总体市场和细分市场两阶段进行,有效避免了"以共性代替个性"和"以既定代替未定"的两个研究误区.此外提出了系统的关键要素的识别原则和方法,构造了一个直观的创新要素评估方法-素体积法.     

Comparison of Hydrostatic Weighing at Residual Volume and Total Lung Capacity in Children

Abstract

The influence of perceptions of the motivational climate and perceived ability on situational motivation and the physical activity behavior of 213 male and 229 female adolescent physical education students (M age= 12.56 years; SD = 0.96) was examined over a 3-day period. A significant age by gender interaction emerged, with physical activity declining from the sixth to eighth grade. The decline was more pronounced among female than male students. Perceptions of a mastery climate were strongly related to more self-determined forms of situational motivation. In contrast, perceptions of a performance climate were strongly related to less self-determined forms of situational motivation. Results of a hierarchical regression analysis revealed gender, perceived ability, and perceptions of a mastery climate to explain a significant amount of variance in physical activity. These findings suggest that promoting a mastery oriented motivational climate in physical education will foster self-determined situational motivation and physical activity.     

基于SOR-LS-SVM的公路旅游客流量组合预测模型

基于指数平滑、多元线性回归、灰色系统等目前常见的预测方法建立超松弛改进的最小二乘支持向量机算法的公路旅游客流量组合预测模型。通过实例验证和比较,展示了基于超松弛最小二乘支持向量机算法的公路交通旅游客流量组合预测模型具有较好的预测效果和较高的应用价值。     

日本九州大学图书馆馆藏《朱子语类》版本辨正--与《〈朝鲜古写徽州本朱子语类〉的传播过程考订》商补

日本九州大学图书馆馆藏黄士毅所编徽州刊《朱子语类》之古朝鲜写本,上承朱子语录之最早编本《池录》,下启今传黎靖德所编《语类大全》,在《朱子语类》版本发展史上具有重要价值。因其卷帙浩繁、情况复杂,学界对该版本的认识存在较多误差。通过古写本与成化本的全面比勘,结合其版本情况,对古写本成书的大致年代、原本卷目数量及其与今传通行本间存在的卷目次序差异进行介绍,并对古写本与《蜀类》《徽类》的关系进行辨析。     

运量变化下的干散货海河集散优化

为降低海河集散运输的总运输成本,根据对三程运输、江海直达运输和减载运输特点的评价,研究干散货海河集散的优化问题.在成本最低基础上,考虑运量变化对干散货海河集散的影响.从大型制造企业和船运公司的角度构建一个运量变化的干散货海河集散模型.以铁矿石内河运输为例,将鲁棒优化模型与普通模型进行对比.结果表明,虽然鲁棒优化模型使得成本小幅度提高,但可以有效地控制运量变化对运输网络的影响,使得优化后的模型能够处理有一定变化幅度的运量.     

大脑容量与论文篇幅

古人类学证明:在从古猿到人的转变中,大脑容量不断增长;期刊比较证明:在学术发展过程中,论文篇幅不断增长。尽管如此,如"大脑越大越聪明"之虚妄,"论文越长越好"同样无法成立。目前,受核心期刊、学位论文、基金课题对篇幅要求之影响,存在论文写作者凑字数导致论文篇幅异常增大的现象。大脑容量异常增大意味着大脑疾病,论文篇幅异常增大意味着论文失范。体系导向写法、阐释自明概念、无谓历史分期、欧式句法、"车轱辘话"、大段引用、堆积案例、空谈意义、沉溺描述、对策癖好等都会导致论文篇幅异常增大,其根本原因在于论证无力。论文之为论文,核心即在论证,故应关注论证质量,而非刻意增大篇幅,以求要言不烦,名论不刊。