新时代高校体育资源纳入全民健身公共服务体系的困境与路径选择

运用资料法、调查法以及数理统计等方法对高校体育资源纳入全民健身公共服务体系现状进行分析。认为高校体育资源在纳入全民健身公共服务体系的过程中存在运行经费短缺、安全综合防治机制缺失、相关政策法规体系不完善或执行不到位、保障激励机制不健全等困境。建议:高校体育场馆开放所需经费纳入政府财政预算,完善体育教师服务全民健身的法律与政策体系纳入政府重点工作目标,统筹建立校园体育活动安全综合防治机制纳入政府工作计划,“校地共建”基层体育社会组织纳入政府绩效管理考核目标,建设高校青少年体育俱乐部纳入政府民生实事,推动高校体育资源市场化纳入政府体育产业发展规划。     

连续时间的网络截流选址模型与算法——以防御性醉酒驾驶的拦截问题为例

首先提出了连续时间的网络截流选址问题,并以保护整个道路交通网络为目标,建立了防御性醉酒驾驶拦截问题的模型。根据问题的特征,分别设计了基于时间的迭代改进算法和离散选址问题的拉格朗日启发式算法,并通过随机实例对算法进行了测试。结果表明:连续时间的同步拦截问题可以通过分离连续的时间变量和离散的选址变量的方法,多次求解覆盖问题而有效解决,并且迭代改进算法对时间的搜索性更强,从而能够用较少的迭代次数解决原问题。     

卢梓烨1,宋砚秋2,张萌2

复杂产品系统的特殊性决定其创新过程必须将部分模块外包,因此选择合适的供应商显得尤为重要。在总结归纳现有供应商选择指标体系研究结论的基础上,结合复杂产品系统的特点,建立由产品竞争力、合作双方兼容性、技术水平、供应商竞争力4个二级指标、15个三级指标组成的复杂产品系统供应商选择指标体系;在此基础上,以条件熵计算得出各项选择指标的权重,采用 Borda 选择法找出整体最优的供应商;最后通过算例验证整个选择指标体系的可操作性。     

一种新的模糊边缘检测算法

基于信息论中最大熵原理 ,提出了一种新的模糊边缘检测算法 .首先介绍了模糊概率、用条件概率与条件熵定义模糊划分熵的概念以及模糊划分的原理 .算法利用了自然划分以及梯度图像模糊划分的关系 ,在条件概率与模糊划分熵的基础上 ,通过最大模糊熵原则实现图像分割中最优阈值的自动提取 ,从而实现图像的边缘检测 .对不同测试图像的边缘检测结果进行比较 ,表明了该算法的有效性 .     

基于因子偏离度的GBDT多因子选股模型

为了避免股票市场中因子之间复杂非线性关系引起的多因子选股模型过拟合现象,基于因子偏离度对股票因子数据进行分析,筛选影响股票收益率的有效因子,通过梯度提升树对股票影响因子的权值进行不断调整和分析,建立一个DEV-GBDT量化选股模型,再根据基于因子偏离度的GBDT多因子选股模型的预测结果进行模拟交易,以沪深300指数成分...     

Fitting Unstructured Finite Mixture Models in Longitudinal Design: A Recommendation for Model Selection and Estimation of the Number of Classes

In longitudinal design, investigating interindividual differences of intraindividual changes enables researchers to better understand the potential variety of development and growth. Although latent growth curve mixture models have been widely used, unstructured finite mixture models (uFMMs) are also useful as a preliminary tool and are expected to be more robust in identifying classes under the influence of possible model misspecifications, which are very common in actual practice. In this study, large-scale simulations were performed in which various normal uFMMs and nonnormal uFMMs were fit to evaluate their utility and the performance of each model selection procedure for estimating the number of classes in longitudinal designs. Results show that normal uFMMs assuming invariance of variance–covariance structures among classes perform better on average. Among model selection procedures, the Calinski–Harabasz statistic, which has a nonparametric nature, performed better on average than information criteria, including the Bayesian information criterion.     

浅谈跳高运动员的选材

提出了选择跳高运动员的身体形态、身体机能及智力等模式．     

中国社会分化与教育选拔状况分析（1949~1978）

社会进步离不开社会分化与教育选拔,而社会分化与教育选拔是在相互作用、相互促进的过程中发展的。改革开谚前的社会分化导源于社会经济的变革。由于社会结构的重要组成了城乡截然不同的二元社会结构。这一时期的教育选拔虽注重了选拔的广度,但选拔标准出现了重德轻才的偏差,选拔秩序出现过混乱甚至完全中断。这一现象的产生除制度结构方面的原因外,还受对知识分子的偏见和“官本位”制的影响。     

跨项选材视角下《运动选材学》通用教材不同版本的比较研究

运用文献资料法、数理统计法和逻辑分析法,对《运动选材学》通用教材不同版本的整体结构内容、章节进行纵横竞技体育历史分析,从跨项选材视角下研究《运动选材学》教材体系的发展规律、历史地位、内容体系存在的问题和建立《运动选材学》内容体系的对策,以期为《运动选材学》教材内容体系的建设与发展提供一些有益的理论依据。同时,也为我国备战2020年东京夏季奥运会和2022年北京冬季奥运会提供一定的理论指导。     

The use of player physical and technical skill match activity profiles to predict position in the Australian Football League draft

This study investigated the extent to which position in the Australian Football League (AFL) national draft is associated with individual game performance metrics. Physical/technical skill performance metrics were collated from all participants in the 2014 national under 18 (U18) championships (18 games) drafted into the AFL (n = 65; 17.8 ± 0.5 y); 232 observations. Players were subdivided into draft position (ranked 1–65) and then draft round (1–4). Here, earlier draft selection (i.e., closer to 1) reflects a more desirable player. Microtechnology and a commercial provider facilitated the quantification of individual game performance metrics (n = 16). Linear mixed models were fitted to data, modelling the extent to which draft position was associated with these metrics. Draft position in the first/second round was negatively associated with “contested possessions” and “contested marks”, respectively. Physical performance metrics were positively associated with draft position in these rounds. Correlations weakened for the third/fourth rounds. Contested possessions/marks were associated with an earlier draft selection. Physical performance metrics were associated with a later draft selection. Recruiters change the type of U18 player they draft as the selection pool reduces. juniors with contested skill appear prioritised.