基于生物国防的关键生物技术预见研究

生物技术对于国防影响的重要度日益增加,技术发展的快速性使得加强技术预见研究成为科技发展规划的重要依据,由此对关键生物技术对国家安全的影响度进行技术预见研究.本研究采用专家咨询法,从25类生物医药产业关键技术入手,根据对国防的影响重要度进行相关技术及技术平台的预见与筛选,并进行技术重要度与可实现性、实现时间聚类分析.得出关键技术发展的优先度和可实现度,以及战略的重要性与发展规划的时间分布,为科技资源配置提供参考依据.

Foresight in Critical Biotechnology Based on Biodefense

Objective: Biotechnology is showing increasing significance in national safety,its rapid development has promoted technology foresight as decision tools for technical strategic planning,so the technology foresight research on biotechnology influencing defense has been performed.Method: Using expert consultation method,25 critical biotechnology is predicted and screened according to the importance rate of defense related technologies and platforms,the technology is clustered by importance and realization rate,and foresight technology realization time schedule.Results and conclusion: The research draws the priority and realization degree of technology,as well as gives suggestion for scientific planning and strategy development.