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我国政府投资对民间投资的影响
引用本文:孙旭,罗季. 我国政府投资对民间投资的影响[J]. 预测, 2004, 23(1): 7-10
作者姓名:孙旭  罗季
作者单位:1. 东北财经大学,统计系,辽宁,大连,116025
2. 浙江财经学院,信息学院,浙江,杭州,310012
基金项目:浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(101016)
摘    要:本文从经济学理论出发,探寻我国政府投资对民间投资的影响,并实证分析了政府投资与民间投资的关联性,发现政府投资与民间投资不存在长期的均衡联系和反馈作用。结论是我国目前政府投资对民间投资的调控能力十分有限,即未表现出“带动效应”,也未产生“挤出效应”。

关 键 词:政府投资 民间投资 带动效应 挤出效应
文章编号:1003-5192(2004)01-0007-04

The Influence of Governmental Investment on Nongovernmental Investment in China
SUN Xu,LUO Ji. The Influence of Governmental Investment on Nongovernmental Investment in China[J]. Forecasting, 2004, 23(1): 7-10
Authors:SUN Xu  LUO Ji
Affiliation:SUN Xu~1,LUO Ji~2
Abstract:The paper looks for the influence of governmental investment on nongovernmental investment, basing on the theory of economics; analyses the linkage between governmental investment and nongovernmental investment by the empirical evidences. The results indicate that there has not existed a long run equilibrium mechanism and a feedback effect between governmental investment and nongovernmental investment. At present, governmental investment has the weakly controlling impact on nongovernmental investment. Both "drive effect" and "extrude effect" are not appearing.
Keywords:governmental investment  nongovernmental investment  drive effect  extrude effect
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