| 论文献老化研究的预测性 |
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| 引用本文： | 俞培果. 论文献老化研究的预测性[J]. 中国图书馆学报, 1998, 24(5) |
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| 作者姓名： | 俞培果 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南工学院图书馆 |
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| 摘 要： | 用灰色一阶线性微分方程对历时测定的文献被引数据进行预测，从而测定文献老化历时半衰期的方法自１９９３年产生以来，人们已用其对我国和国外自然科学期刊文献的老化进行了测定，以期探索文献老化真实规律的各种特征，澄清文献老化研究中理论和方法的混乱，并为实际的文...
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On the Forecast in the Research of Literature Outdatedness |
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| Yu Peiguo. On the Forecast in the Research of Literature Outdatedness[J]. Journal of Library Science In China, 1998, 24(5) |
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| Authors: | Yu Peiguo |
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| Abstract: | All measuring methods of literature outdatedness are based on forecast technology,and cannot measure the phenomena of literature outdatedness accurately.So,we can doubt and even reject these methods based on grey forecast technology.8 refs. |
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| Keywords: | Literature outdatedness. Precision studies.Forecast technology. |
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