| 国际油气勘探开发项目风险管理分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王宇奇,宋勇.国际油气勘探开发项目风险管理分析[J].科技与管理,2008,10(1):46-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王宇奇 宋勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨理工大学,经济管理学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150040 |
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| 摘 要： | 我国国内的油气资源严重不足和原油进口量的逐年增加,使国内面临严重的油气安全问题.因此,开发海外油气资源,实现油气进口多元化,将是今后我国石油公司的战略重点.基于国际油气勘探开发活动与国内相比,具有综合性风险高、投资回收期长等特点,应用蒙特卡罗模型进行国际油气勘探开发项目的风险管理研究,量化勘探风险,指出对我国石油公司乃至其他外国石油公司从事国际油气勘探开发项目,具有重要的指导意义.
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| 关 键 词： | 油气勘探 项目投资 蒙特卡罗模型 风险管理 国际 油气勘探开发项目 项目风险 管理分析 projects development oil and gas exploration international risk management 意义 指导 外国石油 勘探风险 量化 研究 风险管理 蒙特卡罗模型 应用 回收期 投资 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-7133（2008）01-0046-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-10-30 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年10月30 |
Research on the risk management of international oil and gas exploration and development projects |
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| WANG Yu-qi,SONG Yong.Research on the risk management of international oil and gas exploration and development projects[J].Science-Technology and Management,2008,10(1):46-48. |
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| Authors: | WANG Yu-qi SONG Yong |
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| Abstract: | With severe shortage of domestic resources and petroleum importing increasing annually, China is faced with oil and gas safety problem, In order to realize the multi-import of oil and gas for safety, developing overseas oil and gas resources will be the strategic strong point for Chinese oil company. Compared with domestic exploration and development situation, the international one has many special characteristics, such as high risk, long recycle time and so on. So the research on the basis of Monte Carlo model quantifying the risk of international exploration and development project. It plays a very important role in oil and gas practice for Chinese oil projects as well as other foreign oil companies. |
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| Keywords: | oil and gas exploration project investment Monte Carlo model risk management |
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