| 1979-1999年世界田径运动成绩的演变及未来发展态势 |
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| 引用本文： | 李春雷. 1979-1999年世界田径运动成绩的演变及未来发展态势[J]. 上海体育学院学报, 2002, 26(2): 51-57 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李春雷 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京体育大学,田径教研室,北京,100084 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部博士点基金资助课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用文献资料法、数理统计法等研究方法。研究结果表明，世界田径运动在过去的20年里经过发展、提高和稳定的过程，成绩运行轨迹呈锯齿状，并呈现出以奥运会、世锦赛为周期跳动式前进的特点。在此基础上，对世界田径运动在未来奥运会上的成绩走势，进行了动态预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 1979 1999 世界田径运动 成绩 发展态势 增长速度 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-5498(2002)02-0051-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001-11-08 |
Performance Evolution and Future Developmental Trend of World Track and Field from 1979 to 1999 |
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| Li Chunlei. Performance Evolution and Future Developmental Trend of World Track and Field from 1979 to 1999[J]. Journal of Shanghai Physical Education Institute, 2002, 26(2): 51-57 |
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| Authors: | Li Chunlei |
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| Abstract: | This study applies the research methods of documentation, mathematical statistics and so on. The results reveal that the competitive track and field of the world in the past twenty years has undergone the process of development, increase and stableness; the move locus of performance is serrate in shape and is characterized by leaping forward based on the cycle of the Olympic Games and world championships. On this basis, the trend of the competitive track and field in the Olympic Games in the near future is dynamically predicted. |
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| Keywords: | world track and field performance developmental trend speed of increase |
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