| 我国民航安全周期波动的谱分析研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王昌顺,孙健,熊杰. 我国民航安全周期波动的谱分析研究[J]. 中国软科学, 2006, 0(11): 116-119 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王昌顺 孙健 熊杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学技术大学,北京,230026
2. 北京交通大学,交通运输学院,北京,100044 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文阐述了安全形势波动的概念,并对我国民航近57年飞行事故率运用谱分析方法进行分析,验证了民航安全波动规律的存在,同时测定了波动周期,以期为民航采取有效措施,避免飞行事故的发生提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 安全周期 飞行事故 波动 频谱分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-9753(2006)11-0116-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-08-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-10-13 |
Study of Spectrum Analysis for Civil Aviation Safety Fluctuation of China |
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| WANG Chang-shun,SUN Jian,XIONG Jie. Study of Spectrum Analysis for Civil Aviation Safety Fluctuation of China[J]. China Soft Science, 2006, 0(11): 116-119 |
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| Authors: | WANG Chang-shun SUN Jian XIONG Jie |
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| Affiliation: | 1. University of Science and Technology of China ,Beijing 230026, China ; 2. Beijing Jiaotong Univercity, Beijing 100044, China |
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| Abstract: | The paper presents the concept of safety fluctuation,arid with the spectrum analysis of flight accident rate da- ta through past 57 years,we prove that the safety fluctuation exits and measure its wave cycle,so as to provide useful references and inspiration for civil aviation units in taking effective measurement to prevent flight accident. |
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| Keywords: | safety cycle flight accident fluctuation spectrum analysis |
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