伊朗“核问题”及其发展态势分析

伊朗在两年的时间里两次爆发核危机,有其历史根源,也有其现实原因。在每次核危机中,伊朗政府都能够审时度势,采取稳健务实、有利有节的外交策略化解危机。然而,美国与伊朗在核问题上的根本矛盾决定了这一问题必然具有复杂性和长期性。综合各种因素分析,美国在近期内暂难以对伊朗发动战争,政治和外交解决的可能性依然存在。

The Historical Source and Reflection on Iran Nuclear Issue

Two nuclear crises had broken in Iran in two years. It has historic origin as well as the realistic reasons.In each crisis the Iranian government considered the situation, took steady, practical, advantageous and moderately diplomatic strategy that prevented Iran from the danger.But the basic contradiction on nuclear issue between America and Iran determines the problem complex and permanent.Considering all kinds of factors, it's impossible for America to launch the war to Iran recently, and the possibility of solving the problem through political and diplomatic means still exists.