应用德菲尔法预测东盟国家语种专业发展趋势的探讨

本文探讨了应用德菲尔法对东盟国家语种专业的发展趋势进行预测的可能性及具体操作方法,指出应用该方法可以对未来十年内东盟语种专业发展的趋势做出较为准确的预测,这将为各院校在开设和发展东盟语种时提供科学依据,使我们在专业开设、人才培养上更加有的放矢,从而培养出更加符合社会需求的东盟国家语种复合型人才,更好地为国家的经济社会发展服务。

Discussion of the Ways in Predicting the Trends of ASEAN Countries Languages Major Development Using Delphi Method

In this paper,the possibilities and the specific ways of using Delphis to predict the trends of the development of the ASEAN countries languages are discussed.This method could make more accurate predictions about the trends of ASEAN countries languages majors in the next decade.It will also provide scientific evidences for the colleges and universities when they establish and develop majors in ASEAN countries languages,make us more target in terms of applying these majors and cultivate more inter-disciplinary talents who could be according with the requirement of the society,and thus offer better service for the national economic and social developments.