中国省级经济增长的差异分析

通过考察1978—2001年间中国省级经济增长的决定因素，说明省级增长率为什么不同，首先计算了资本、技术、就业结构变化对增长的贡献．然后对省级增长的决定进行了多因素的考察，分析了诸多因素与省级增长率的相关性，建立了一个多元回归模型分析非国有企业的产出、农业产出占GDP比重的下降、出口、高等教育、存款等因素对省级增长的影响。然后分东部的省份和内陆省份，进行了比较分析。

On the Difference of China's Provincial Growth

This paper focuses on the sources and determinants of China's provincial economic growth during 1978-2001 and explains that why growth rates differ within China. The contribution of the capital, technology, labor structure were measured through decomposition of growth. The determinants of provincial growth were analyzed by figuring out the correlation coefficient between many factors and the provinces GDP growth rates. The effects of the output of non-state sector, the change of the share of agricultural output in GDP, export, high-education and deposit was analyzed and a regression model was suggested. The differences of the correlation coefficient between the East coastal provinces and inner provinces were discovered at last.