| 基于三次指数平滑法的黄山风景区旅游营业总收入预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 方亮.基于三次指数平滑法的黄山风景区旅游营业总收入预测分析[J].黄山学院学报,2011,13(1):57-59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 方亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 黄山学院,经济管理学院,安徽,黄山,245041 |
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| 摘 要： | 指数平滑法就是将历史统计数据消除统计数据的起伏波动状况,使其规则化,以便把握事物发展的方向和趋势的方法,根据近几年黄山风景区旅游营业总收入数据分析,利用三次指数平滑法预测2010年和2011年黄山风景区旅游营业总收入将达到12.3906亿元和13.2809亿元.
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| 关 键 词： | 三次指数平滑法 黄山风景区 旅游营业总收入 |
Tourism Revenue of Huangshan Scenic Area Forecast by Cubic Exponential Smoothing Method |
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| Fang Liang.Tourism Revenue of Huangshan Scenic Area Forecast by Cubic Exponential Smoothing Method[J].Journal of Huangshan University,2011,13(1):57-59. |
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| Authors: | Fang Liang |
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| Institution: | Fang Liang(School of Economics and Management,Huangshan University,Huangshan245041,China) |
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| Abstract: | Cubic exponential smoothing method is to eliminate statistical data's fluctuations,making them regular,so that the development direction of things can be grasped.Based on the data in recent years,tourism operating income of Huangshan Scenic Area is forecast by cubic exponential smoothing method,1.23906 billion Yuan in the year of 2010 and 1.32809 billion Yuan in the year of 2011. |
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| Keywords: | cubic exponential smoothing method Huangshan Scenic Area tourism operating income |
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