| 云南对外贸易与经济增长的长期均衡分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘卫华,孙爱真.云南对外贸易与经济增长的长期均衡分析[J].保山师专学报,2011,30(2):88-91. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘卫华 孙爱真 |
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| 作者单位： | 保山学院政史系; |
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| 摘 要： | 采用云南省1990-2009年的数据,在数据保持平稳性的前提下,协整分析表明,云南的对外贸易与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系。同时,运用Granger检验方法,得出了二者之间存在单向的格兰杰因果关系：对外贸易（进口和出口）是云南经济增长的格兰杰原因,云南经济增长不是对外贸易（进口和出口）的格兰杰原因,并提出了相关的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 进出口 经济增长 协整 Granger检验 |
The Analysis of Long-term Balance between International Trade and Economic Growth in Yunnan |
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| Liu Wei-hua.The Analysis of Long-term Balance between International Trade and Economic Growth in Yunnan[J].Journal of Baoshan Teachers' College,2011,30(2):88-91. |
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| Authors: | Liu Wei-hua |
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| Institution: | Liu Wei-hua(Baoshan University,Yunnan Baoshan 678000) |
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| Abstract: | Based on data for the year 1990-2009 in Yunnan province,under the stability the empirical relationship,co-integration test result show that there exist long-term balance between international trade and economic growth.Using Granger test method,there is only single-direction Granger causality existed between them.International trade(import-export) is Granger cause economic growth and economic growth is not Granger cause international trade(import-export) in Yunnan.Finally,policy recommendations are given. |
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| Keywords: | Import-Export economic growth co-integration Granger causality |
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