山东入境旅游区域经济差异成因定量分析

以山东2002年至2009年的入境旅游收入、人均GDP、4A级和5A级旅游景区数量、公路密度、涉外饭店数量、人均商品零售额等数据为样本数据。运用Eviews软件,对以上数据进行多元线性回归分析,分析各个成因的影响程度,建立回归模型。分析结果表明,对山东入境旅游区域经济差异的影响程度依次为地区接待能力、经济发展水平、区域通达性、旅游资源禀赋、市场化程度;对各解释变量的多重共线性进行修正,得到最终回归模型Y^=-48672.16+594.0324X3。

A quantitative analysis of the factors affecting the economy of inbound tourism regions in Shangdong Province

Ample data from Shangdong Province between 2002 and 2009 in its inbound toursim revenue, GDP per capita, the number of 4A and 5A tourist attractions, density of highways, the number of hotels catering to foreign tourists, and retail sales per capita is used in Eviews for multi-linear regression so as to analyze every factor＇s contribution and develop the model of regression. The result shows the factors affecting the economy the inbound tourism regions are as follows： reception capacity of the region, level of economy, convenience in transportation, natural endowment in tourism resourcesm, and the extent of marketability. The ultimate regression model isY^=-48672.16＋594.0324X3。