试论历史上的社会动荡与迷信

关于中国历史上的社会动荡，本文提出迷信引发政权更替；下层民众总是利用迷信颠覆社会；迷信的秘密会社是引起社会动荡的组织形式；迷信文献是引起社会动荡的理论准备；迷信的预测是引起社会动荡的重要舆论。文中侧重从个案研究的角度提出秦朝的灭亡与迷信的泛滥有关。作者建议加强这方面的研究，以便为现代化提供历史的借鉴。

On Social Turbulence and Superstition in Chinese History

As to the social turbulence in Chinese history, the paper puts forward five opinions. Superstition gave rise to the alternation of regime, the lower class always made use of superstition to destabilize society, superstitious secret association was the organizational form which aroused social turbulence, superstitious documents made theoretical preparation for social turbulence, superstitious prediction was important public opinions which aroused social turbulence. Viewing it from a case-study angle, this paper regards that the downfall of the Qin Dynasty had something to do with the overflow of superstition. And it also suggests that we should strengthen the study on this field ,so that we can supply the mod-ernization with historical reference.