安徽省对外贸易与产业演进的省际比较分析

选取不同的时间段,采用聚类分析、SSM分析和面板数据模型等实证分析工具,研究和分析安徽省与省际的对外贸易、产业演进以及二者之间的数量关系。实证分析认为,安徽省对外贸易在九五以后较快发展,在中部地区位于前列,但对外贸易活动的活力不强;三次产业的产出结构由1981年的一二三演进到目前较为稳定的二三一,但第一、二产业在全国竞争力相对偏弱,而第三产业竞争力较强;安徽省出口贸易的增长使得地区资源向第二产业转移和集中,而进口贸易的增长则有利于第二、三产业的发展。

On Inter-Provincial Comparison and Analysis of Foreign Trade and Industrial Evolvement Based on Anhui Province

By selecting different periods of time ,the paper uses empirical analytical instruments,such as Cluster,SSM and Panel data model,to study Anhui Province and inter-provincial foreign trade,industrial evolvement and the relations between them. The empirical results showthat the foreign trade of Anhui province has developed much faster after the Ninth Five-Year Plan,ranking first in the Central Region of China,but its vigour of foreign trade is not strong enough;that the output structure among the Three-Time I...