| 牡丹的花期预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张玲,赵黎,张明庆.牡丹的花期预测研究[J].咸阳师范专科学校学报,2009(2):77-79. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张玲 赵黎 张明庆 |
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| 作者单位： | 首都师范大学资源环境与旅游学院,北京100048 |
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| 基金项目： | 北京教委资助项目（KM200710028016）. |
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| 摘 要： | 依据物候学的顺序相关规律，采用回归分析的方法，利用牡丹（Paeonia suffruticosa）花期前的物候现象，建立花期的预报模型，预报牡丹始花日期，通过检验，预报效果良好。牡丹花期预报模型的建立，为相关景区的管理工作，以及游人的赏花活动提供了方便。
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| 关 键 词： | 牡丹（Paeonia suffruticosa） 花期预报 物候 |
Study on the Forecast ofPaeonia suffruticosa Florescence |
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| ZHANG Ling,ZHAO Li,ZHANG Ming-qing.Study on the Forecast ofPaeonia suffruticosa Florescence[J].Journal of Xianyang Teachers College,2009(2):77-79. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Ling ZHAO Li ZHANG Ming-qing |
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| Institution: | (College of Resources Environment and Tourism, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048 ,China ) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, a model of flowering forecasting on Paeonia suffruticosa is established, which based on the law of sequence-dependent on phenological phenomenon and the method of regression analysis. By checking with data, the model yields good results in forecasting first flowering dates of Paeonia suffruticosa. The model of flowering forecasting on Paeonia suffruticosa will provide convenience for gardener and visitor. |
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| Keywords: | Paeonia suffruticosa forecast of florescence phenological |
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